New day, new card. Here's the match that stands out from the schedule.
The serve numbers are close — Jannik Sinner holds at 92%, Alexander Zverev at 85%. Neither player has a huge edge on serve, so this could come down to who handles the big moments better.
Return games are close too — Jannik Sinner breaks at 29%, Alexander Zverev at 25%. Both players will fancy their chances on return, which could make for a competitive match with plenty of breaks.
Pressure stats are similar — Jannik Sinner at 0.04, Alexander Zverev at 0.11. Neither player has a standout edge in the tight moments, so this might come down to who's feeling it on the day.
The market has Jannik Sinner at 1.18 and Alexander Zverev at 5.56. The market slightly favours Jannik Sinner.
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