Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev — Mutua Madrid Open

May 02, 2026 · Clay · More previews

New day, new card. Here's the match that stands out from the schedule.

The serve battle

The serve numbers are close — Jannik Sinner holds at 92%, Alexander Zverev at 85%. Neither player has a huge edge on serve, so this could come down to who handles the big moments better.

Return game

Return games are close too — Jannik Sinner breaks at 29%, Alexander Zverev at 25%. Both players will fancy their chances on return, which could make for a competitive match with plenty of breaks.

Under pressure

Pressure stats are similar — Jannik Sinner at 0.04, Alexander Zverev at 0.11. Neither player has a standout edge in the tight moments, so this might come down to who's feeling it on the day.

SinnerZverev
Hold %92%85%
Break %29%25%
Choke index0.040.11
Betfair1.185.56

What the market says

The market has Jannik Sinner at 1.18 and Alexander Zverev at 5.56. The market slightly favours Jannik Sinner.

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