New day, new card. Here's the match that stands out from the schedule.
The serve numbers are close — Mirra Andreeva holds at 70%, Maja Chwalinska at 64%. Neither player has a huge edge on serve, so this could come down to who handles the big moments better.
On return, Maja Chwalinska breaks at 56% — that's a serious return game. Mirra Andreeva only manages 46%. If Maja Chwalinska's serve holds up even moderately well, the return numbers suggest they'll create enough chances to win this.
Pressure stats are similar — Mirra Andreeva at 0.15, Maja Chwalinska at 0.12. Neither player has a standout edge in the tight moments, so this might come down to who's feeling it on the day.
Worth noting: Maja Chwalinska has the better tiebreak record (64% vs 47%). If a set comes down to a breaker, there's a slight statistical edge there.
Conditions look calm (4 km/h wind) — good for serving, which generally favours the better server in the matchup.
The market has Mirra Andreeva at 1.29 and Maja Chwalinska at 4.40. The market slightly favours Mirra Andreeva.
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