New day, new card. Here's the match that stands out from the schedule.
The serve numbers are close — Alexander Zverev holds at 87%, Flavio Cobolli at 81%. Neither player has a huge edge on serve, so this could come down to who handles the big moments better.
Return games are close too — Alexander Zverev breaks at 23%, Flavio Cobolli at 20%. Both players will fancy their chances on return, which could make for a competitive match with plenty of breaks.
The pressure stats are where this gets interesting. Alexander Zverev's choke index is 0.15 — they hold it together in tight moments. Flavio Cobolli is at 0.37, meaning they give up leads significantly more often. If this match goes close, the data says Alexander Zverev is more likely to hold their nerve.
The market has Alexander Zverev at 1.28 and Flavio Cobolli at 4.40. The market slightly favours Alexander Zverev.
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