New day, new card. Here's the match that stands out from the schedule.
The serve numbers are close — Martin Landaluce holds at 80%, Taylor Fritz at 76%. Neither player has a huge edge on serve, so this could come down to who handles the big moments better.
Taylor Fritz averages 0.5 aces per service game — genuine free points that can bail you out of trouble on the bigger points.
Return games are close too — Martin Landaluce breaks at 20%, Taylor Fritz at 18%. Both players will fancy their chances on return, which could make for a competitive match with plenty of breaks.
Pressure stats are similar — Martin Landaluce at 0.27, Taylor Fritz at 0.17. Neither player has a standout edge in the tight moments, so this might come down to who's feeling it on the day.
Worth noting: Taylor Fritz has the better tiebreak record (53% vs 33%). If a set comes down to a breaker, there's a slight statistical edge there.
Conditions look calm (0 km/h wind) — good for serving, which generally favours the better server in the matchup.
The market has Martin Landaluce at 3.10 and Taylor Fritz at 1.41. The market slightly favours Taylor Fritz.
Whether the market has this right is something our model takes a view on every day. We don't give away picks on the blog — but subscribers get the full probability, edge calculation, and staking advice delivered to Telegram every morning.
Daily signals to Telegram every morning. Probabilities, pressure profiles, and staking advice for every match with value.
Try it free for 7 days →