Tough one yesterday — 0 from 4. The edge is long-term, not daily.
The serve numbers are close — Alexander Zverev holds at 87%, Yannick Hanfmann at 82%. Neither player has a huge edge on serve, so this could come down to who handles the big moments better.
On return, Alexander Zverev breaks at 23% — that's a serious return game. Yannick Hanfmann only manages 14%. If Alexander Zverev's serve holds up even moderately well, the return numbers suggest they'll create enough chances to win this.
Pressure stats are similar — Alexander Zverev at 0.15, Yannick Hanfmann at 0.12. Neither player has a standout edge in the tight moments, so this might come down to who's feeling it on the day.
The market has Alexander Zverev at 1.10 and Yannick Hanfmann at 6.60. The market slightly favours Alexander Zverev.
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