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ATP · Player Profile

Francesco Passaro

ATP · Italy · Updated 13 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-02-24
At a glance · Francesco Passaro

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches
Fitness
Returning from break
109 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
109d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 7 monthsStable

Model carry-in

Francesco Passaro sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 160-136 (54.1%) across 296 matches — hard 33-43, clay 127-91, grass 0-2. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
2007
Hard
1735
Grass
1499
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Riccardo Bonadio 4 meetings1–3
Federico Arnaboldi 3 meetings3–0
Zhizhen Zhang 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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135W 168L · +19.3% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2116
top tier
Hard Welo
1735
-380 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.395
tour-median
Projected Hold
63.7%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1735 (-380)
Hold % (52w)78.2%
Last 52w5-8
Clay
Welo2007 (-109)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-2
Grass
Welo1499 (-617)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-02-24
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in62.6%
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo42.9%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo51.3%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Adolfo Daniel VallejoSantiago ATP · 2026-02-24 · H ·
L vs Alejandro TabiloRio ATP · 2026-02-19 · H ·
L vs Dino PrizmicRio ATP · 2026-02-17 · H ·
W vs Vilius GaubasRio ATP · 2026-02-15 · H ·
L vs Elmer MollerRio ATP · 2026-02-14 · H ·
W vs Marco CecchinatoBuenos Aires ATP · 2026-02-08 · H ·
L vs Alexander BlockxOpen de Moselle · 2025-11-04 · H · R1283-6 6-3 6-4
L vs Dan AddedMetz ATP · 2025-11-02 · H ·
L vs Arthur BouquierMetz ATP · 2025-11-01 · H ·
L vs Flavio CobolliUS Open · 2025-08-25 · H · R1287-5 4-6 6-4 3-6 6-3
Career splits
Overall160-136 (54.1%)
Hard33-43 (43.4%)
Clay127-91 (58.3%)
Grass0-2 (0.0%)
Frequently asked
How old is Francesco Passaro?

Francesco Passaro was born on 07 January 2001, making them 25 years old and represents Italy. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Francesco Passaro in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Francesco Passaro has gone 2-3 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Francesco Passaro's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Francesco Passaro's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 2007 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 2-2.

How does Francesco Passaro perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.395 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Francesco Passaro's career win rate?

Francesco Passaro has won 160 of 296 matches in our database (54.1%). By surface: hard 33-43, clay 127-91, grass 0-2.

How often does Francesco Passaro hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Francesco Passaro to hold 63.7% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Francesco Passaro play on?

Francesco Passaro competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-02-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling