fault.betPlayersKatie Swan
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WTA · Player Profile

Katie Swan

WTA · Great Britain · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-03
At a glance · Katie Swan

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
11 days rest · 4 matches in 28d
Last match
11d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 5 monthsStable

Model carry-in

Katie Swan sits in the below tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 185-115 (61.7%) across 300 matches — hard 147-77, clay 11-15, grass 11-18. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1950
Clay
1636
Grass
1570
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Francesco Cordova 3 meetings3–0
Scott Bristol 3 meetings3–0
Tin Pongracic 3 meetings3–0
Kayla Day 3 meetings2–1
Panna Udvardy 3 meetings1–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1515
below tour median
Grass Welo
1401
-114 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.300
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
63.9%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1950 (+435)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-2
Clay
Welo1636 (+121)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Grass
Welo1401 (-114)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-03
Hold rate service games won62.5%
Break rate return games won38.3%
First serve in 1st serves landing in58.7%
Ace rate aces per service point24.1%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo50.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo14.3%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down14.7%
Collapse rate lost from a set up27.0%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Ashlyn KruegerLexus Ilkley Open · 2026-06-12 · H · R326-1
W vs Viktorija GolubicLexus Ilkley Open · 2026-06-12 · H · R326-4 7-6
L vs Taylah PrestonLexus Birmingham Open · 2026-06-04 · H · R326-4 6-2
W vs Ajla TomljanovicLexus Birmingham Open · 2026-06-03 · H · R327-6 3-2
W vs Elena Gabriela RuseAdelaide WTA 2026 · 2026-01-09 · H ·
L vs Gabriella Da Silva FickW35 Roehampton · 2024-07-29 · H · R327-6(5) RET
L vs Joe VlasekW50 Nottingham · 2024-07-15 · H · R326-1 7-6(2)
L vs Melisa ErcanW35 Traralgon · 2024-02-26 · H · R326-3 6-2
W vs Xiaodi YouW75 Burnie · 2024-02-05 · H · R326-2 6-4
W vs Melisa ErcanW75 Burnie · 2024-02-05 · H · R166-3 6-2
Career splits
Overall185-115 (61.7%)
Hard147-77 (65.6%)
Clay11-15 (42.3%)
Grass11-18 (37.9%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Ajla TomljanovicLexus Birmingham Open · 2026-06-02 · G@ 2.62 · WON · +1.23u
Frequently asked
How old is Katie Swan?

Katie Swan was born on 24 March 1999, making them 27 years old and represents Great Britain. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Katie Swan in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Katie Swan has gone 3-2 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Katie Swan's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Katie Swan's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1950 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 3-2.

How does Katie Swan perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.300 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Katie Swan's career win rate?

Katie Swan has won 185 of 300 matches in our database (61.7%). By surface: hard 147-77, clay 11-15, grass 11-18.

How often does Katie Swan hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Katie Swan to hold 63.9% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Katie Swan?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Katie Swan. Record: 1 wins, 0 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Katie Swan play on?

Katie Swan competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Katie Swan: 1W 0L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-03. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling