fault.betPlayersMai Hontama
Mai Hontama photo
WTA · Player Profile

Mai Hontama

WTA · Japan · Updated 04 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-24
At a glance · Mai Hontama

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
10 days rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
10d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -122 pts

Model carry-in

Mai Hontama sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 223-155 (59.0%) across 378 matches — hard 185-123, clay 21-18, grass 4-5. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1878
Clay
1685
Grass
1525
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Ayano Shimizu 5 meetings1–4
Owen Kirk 4 meetings2–2
Adrian Kranz 4 meetings2–2
Kimberly Birrell 4 meetings2–2
Charles Steinke 3 meetings3–0

Full data & recent form

PREMIUM
Unlock Mai Hontama’s full profile
A visual Player Lab — serve/return radar, surface power, form & clutch index — plus surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, the full service & return profile, recent form and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
Try free for 7 days →
156W 207L · +14.8% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Mai Hontama’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the WTA field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
1925
tour median
Grass Welo
1525
-400 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.327
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1878 (-48)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-3
Clay
Welo1685 (-240)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Grass
Welo1525 (-400)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-24
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo50.7%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo55.5%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Ashlyn KruegerWimbledon · 2026-06-24 · G · R326-3 5-7 6-3
W vs Akasha UrhoboWimbledon · 2026-06-23 · G · R327-6 6-3
L vs Anastasia KulikovaFigueira Da Foz Ladies Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R324-6 6-3 6-4
L vs Sofia CostoulasRoland Garros · 2026-05-20 · C · R326-4 6-3
W vs Taylah PrestonRoland Garros · 2026-05-18 · C · R327-5 6-3
L vs Alycia ParksPrague Open · 2025-07-21 · H · R1286-4 6-2
L vs Denisa HindovaPrague WTA · 2025-07-19 · H ·
L vs Sijia WeiJiujiang · 2024-10-28 · H · R326-2 3-6 6-1
W vs Pierre Olivier CittonTokyo · 2024-10-21 · H · Q16-3 6-3
W vs Ayano ShimizuTokyo · 2024-10-21 · H · Q23-6 6-3 6-4
Career splits
Overall223-155 (59.0%)
Hard185-123 (60.1%)
Clay21-18 (53.8%)
Grass4-5 (44.4%)
Frequently asked
How old is Mai Hontama?

Mai Hontama was born on 30 August 1999, making them 26 years old and represents Japan. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Mai Hontama in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Mai Hontama has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Mai Hontama's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Mai Hontama's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1878 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 0-3.

How does Mai Hontama perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.327 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Mai Hontama's career win rate?

Mai Hontama has won 223 of 378 matches in our database (59.0%). By surface: hard 185-123, clay 21-18, grass 4-5.

What tour does Mai Hontama play on?

Mai Hontama competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

Daily WTA signals + full player dashboards

Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium

Try free for 7 days →
🔔 Get an alert when Mai Hontama next plays

Drop your email and we'll send the model's read — price, edge and projected hold — the morning Mai Hontama is next on court. Free.

Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling