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WTA · Player Profile

Maria Timofeeva

WTA · Russia · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-15
At a glance · Maria Timofeeva

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
6 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
6d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 5 months↓ -77 pts

Model carry-in

Maria Timofeeva sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 162-94 (63.3%) across 256 matches — hard 121-65, clay 39-27, grass 0-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1817
Clay
1687
Grass
1500
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Kristina Dmitruk 3 meetings2–1
Maria Lourdes Carle 3 meetings2–1
Anastasia Zakharova 3 meetings1–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1939
tour median
Hard Welo
1817
-121 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.330
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1817 (-121)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w12-7
Clay
Welo1687 (-251)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Grass
Welo1500 (-439)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-15
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo49.3%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo47.2%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Renata ZarazuaVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R327-5 6-2
W vs Sara Sorribes TormoMakarska Open · 2026-06-06 · H · R326-2 7-5
W vs Yasmine KabbajMakarska Open · 2026-06-05 · H · R327-5 6-1
W vs Lea BoskovicMakarska Open · 2026-06-04 · H · R326-4 6-3
W vs Erika AndreevaMakarska Open · 2026-06-04 · H · R326-3 6-2
L vs Maria Lourdes CarleRoland Garros · 2026-05-20 · C · R322-6 6-0 6-4
W vs Cadence BraceRoland Garros · 2026-05-19 · C · R326-1 6-3
W vs Alice TubelloIstanbul Open · 2026-05-09 · H · R326-4 4-6 6-0
W vs Francesca JonesIstanbul Open · 2026-05-08 · H · R327-6 6-3
W vs Adelina LachinovaIstanbul Open · 2026-05-07 · H · R326-4 6-3
Career splits
Overall162-94 (63.3%)
Hard121-65 (65.1%)
Clay39-27 (59.1%)
Grass0-1 (0.0%)
Frequently asked
How old is Maria Timofeeva?

Maria Timofeeva was born on 18 November 2003, making them 22 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Maria Timofeeva in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Maria Timofeeva has gone 4-1 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Maria Timofeeva's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Maria Timofeeva's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1817 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 12-7.

How does Maria Timofeeva perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.330 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Maria Timofeeva's career win rate?

Maria Timofeeva has won 162 of 256 matches in our database (63.3%). By surface: hard 121-65, clay 39-27, grass 0-1.

What tour does Maria Timofeeva play on?

Maria Timofeeva competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-15. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling