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WTA · Player Profile

Paula Badosa

WTA · — · Updated 24 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-19
At a glance · Paula Badosa

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
5 days rest · 4 matches in 28d
Last match
5d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +25 pts

Model carry-in

Paula Badosa sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 20-18 (52.6%) across 38 matches — hard 18-13, clay 2-4, grass 0-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1839
Clay
1730
Grass
1608

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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147W 194L · +15.8% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1929
tour median
Hard Welo
1839
-90 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.415
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1839 (-90)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w8-8
Clay
Welo1730 (-199)
Hold % (52w)66.1%
Last 52w2-4
Grass
Welo1608 (-320)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-19
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo50.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo50.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Linda NoskovaVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-19 · H · R326-1 6-3
W vs Coco GauffVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-17 · H · R321-6 6-3 6-2
W vs Suzan LamensVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R326-3 6-2
L vs Daria SnigurLibéma Open · 2026-06-08 · H · R326-1 7-6
L vs Julia GrabherMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-21 · C · R327-6 4-6 6-0
L vs Eva LysPorsche Tennis Grand Prix · 2026-04-14 · C · R1282-6 7-5 6-4
L vs Lilli TaggerLadies Linz Open · 2026-04-07 · C · R1286-4 7-6
L vs Anna KalinskayaCharleston Open · 2026-04-03 · C · R326-4 6-2
W vs Maria SakkariCharleston Open · 2026-04-01 · C · R646-3 6-4
W vs Kayla DayCharleston Open · 2026-03-31 · C · R1286-4 6-3
Career splits
Overall20-18 (52.6%)
Hard18-13 (58.1%)
Clay2-4 (33.3%)
Grass0-1 (0.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Paula BadosaCredit One Charleston Open · 2026-04-02 · H@ 2.40 · WON · +1.68u
Frequently asked
Is Paula Badosa in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Paula Badosa has gone 2-3 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Paula Badosa's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Paula Badosa's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1839 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 8-8.

How does Paula Badosa perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.415 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Paula Badosa's career win rate?

Paula Badosa has won 20 of 38 matches in our database (52.6%). By surface: hard 18-13, clay 2-4, grass 0-1.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Paula Badosa?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Paula Badosa. Record: 1 wins, 0 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Paula Badosa play on?

Paula Badosa competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Paula Badosa: 1W 0L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-19. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling