WTA · Player Profile

Tatjana Maria

WTA · — · Updated 18 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-07-12

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At a glance · Tatjana Maria

Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1830.
On a 5-match winning streak in our database.

Form & fitness

Form

Red-hot

last 10 matches · 5W streak

Fitness

Tournament grinder

6 days rest · 12 matches in 28d

Last match

6d ago

no retirements or walkovers in 90d

Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +265 pts

Model carry-in

Tatjana Maria sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 29-38 (43.3%) across 67 matches — hard 22-29, clay 2-6, grass 5-3. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo

Hard

1830

Grass

1713

Clay

1676

Head-to-head · most-played opponents

Katie Volynets 3 meetings1–2 →

Full data & recent form

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A visual Player Lab — serve/return radar, surface power, form & clutch index — plus surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, the full service & return profile, recent form and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.

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167W 227L · +16.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Tatjana Maria’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA

vs the WTA field · 50 = tour median

🏟️ Surface Power

rating by surface (wElo)

📈 Form Trend

rating swing · last 8 weeks

🧊 Clutch Index

break points · tiebreaks · deciders

Weighted Elo

1947

tour median

Hard Welo

1830

-117 below overall · surface to fade

Choke Index

0.420

tour-median

Projected Hold

—

vs draw-average opponent

Surface profile · snapshot

Hard

Welo1830 (-117)

Hold % (52w)—

Last 52w22-26

Clay

Welo1676 (-271)

Hold % (52w)—

Last 52w0-4

Grass

Welo1713 (-235)

Hold % (52w)—

Last 52w5-2

Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-07-12

Hold rate service games won—

Break rate return games won—

First serve in 1st serves landing in—

Ace rate aces per service point—

Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo50.0%

Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo50.0%

Comeback rate recovered from a set down—

Collapse rate lost from a set up—

Recent form (last 10 matches)

W vs Katie VolynetsCerity Partners Hall of Fame Open for the Van Alen Cup Presented by the Margaret Fund · 2026-07-12 · H · R326-2 6-4

W vs Mananchaya SawangkaewCerity Partners Hall of Fame Open for the Van Alen Cup Presented by the Margaret Fund · 2026-07-11 · H · R326-2 6-1

W vs Lucrezia StefaniniCerity Partners Hall of Fame Open for the Van Alen Cup Presented by the Margaret Fund · 2026-07-10 · H · R326-1 6-0

W vs Katherine SebovCerity Partners Hall of Fame Open for the Van Alen Cup Presented by the Margaret Fund · 2026-07-09 · H · R326-3 6-3

W vs Olivia LincerCerity Partners Hall of Fame Open for the Van Alen Cup Presented by the Margaret Fund · 2026-07-08 · H · R326-3 6-2

L vs Iva JovicWimbledon · 2026-07-01 · G · R326-1 6-2

W vs Yulia PutintsevaWimbledon · 2026-06-29 · G · R326-4 6-4

L vs Madison KeysLexus Eastbourne Open · 2026-06-27 · G · R327-5 6-4

W vs Jelena OstapenkoLexus Eastbourne Open · 2026-06-26 · G · R326-1 1-2

W vs Tereza ValentovaLexus Eastbourne Open · 2026-06-25 · G · R326-3 7-5

Career splits

Overall29-38 (43.3%)

Hard22-29 (43.1%)

Clay2-6 (25.0%)

Grass5-3 (62.5%)

Players at this level

Eva Alexandrova1948 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova1948 Jeline Vandromme1948 Mei Yamaguchi1950 Lois Boisson1950

Recent opponents

Katie VolynetsWMananchaya SawangkaewWLucrezia StefaniniWKatherine SebovWOlivia LincerW

Frequently asked

Is Tatjana Maria in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Tatjana Maria has gone 5-0 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Tatjana Maria's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Tatjana Maria's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1830 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 22-26.

How does Tatjana Maria perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.420 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Tatjana Maria's career win rate?

Tatjana Maria has won 29 of 67 matches in our database (43.3%). By surface: hard 22-29, clay 2-6, grass 5-3.

What tour does Tatjana Maria play on?

Tatjana Maria competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-07-12. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling