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Tennis Predictions That Find Mispriced Markets

Our model analyses 1.6 million matches to find when the market misprices tennis players. Daily value signals to Telegram. Live dashboard with pressure profiles. Works with Betfair, Pinnacle, bet365, Polymarket — any exchange or book.

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1,800,000+
Matches Analysed
12,400,000+
Data Points
£20
From / Month
Telegram
Signal Delivery
📍 ROLAND GARROS 24 MAY – 7 JUN — RG previews live · read the cards 🎾 BACK Basavareddy @ 4.00 — Edge +14.7% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +3.00u 🎾 BACK Kokkinakis @ 4.10 — Edge +10.3% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +3.10u 🎾 BACK Teichmann @ 4.10 — Edge +14.4% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +3.10u 🎾 BACK Borges @ 3.05 — Edge +10.9% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +2.05u 🎾 BACK Duckworth @ 2.54 — Edge +14.1% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +1.54u 🎾 BACK Trungelliti @ 2.22 — Edge +11.3% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +1.22u 📍 ROLAND GARROS 24 MAY – 7 JUN — RG previews live · read the cards 🎾 BACK Basavareddy @ 4.00 — Edge +14.7% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +3.00u 🎾 BACK Kokkinakis @ 4.10 — Edge +10.3% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +3.10u 🎾 BACK Teichmann @ 4.10 — Edge +14.4% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +3.10u 🎾 BACK Borges @ 3.05 — Edge +10.9% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +2.05u 🎾 BACK Duckworth @ 2.54 — Edge +14.1% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +1.54u 🎾 BACK Trungelliti @ 2.22 — Edge +11.3% — Roland Garros — ✓ WON +1.22u

How It Works

Three steps from data to delivered trading edge

🧠

1. Model Analysis

Our ML + Markov chain model analyses every ATP & WTA match, computing opponent-adjusted serve and break probabilities from 1.6 million historical matches.

📊

2. Signal Generation

When our model disagrees with Betfair by 6%+ AND Betfair has confirmed the price, a value signal fires. No estimates — only real market prices.

📱

3. Instant Delivery

Signals delivered instantly to Telegram with player stats, edge %, confidence score and staking recommendation.

Example Signal
🎾 VALUE SIGNAL — PRE-MATCH
BACK: Naomi Osaka
Madrid Open · Clay · Women's Singles
Betfair: 1.91
Model: 1.59
Edge: +19.8%
Confidence: 81/100 · Stake: 1.0% bank · ✓ WON

Tennis Trading Signals

Data-driven pre-match and inplay signals for ATP and WTA. Publicly tracked.

🎾 Signals
£20/month
Pre-Match Signals via Telegram
  • Daily pre-match value signals at 8am
  • 8%+ edge only — no noise
  • Betfair confirmed prices
  • Full ATP & WTA coverage
  • faultbet proportional staking
  • Every signal publicly tracked
  • Results page access
Subscribe — £20/month
Signals start immediately. One-click cancel — no questions asked.
⚡ Premium
£37.50/month
Signals + Dashboard + Inplay
  • Everything in Signals
  • Live dashboard — app.fault.bet
  • Match probabilities & pressure profiles
  • Inplay Telegram alerts
  • Serve data, weather analysis, Elo ratings
  • Inplay P&L: +8.3% in first 2 weeks
Subscribe — £37.50/month
Full access immediately. One-click cancel — no questions asked.

🔒 Betfair Auto-Placement — Coming Soon

Automated bet placement direct to your Betfair account.

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⚡ Live Now

The fault.bet Dashboard

A real-time tennis trading data terminal. Every ATP and WTA match with live Betfair prices, model probabilities, pressure profiles, and inplay signals. Included with Premium.

app.fault.bet
Live Matches
24
Signals Today
7
Best Edge
+18.4%
Total P&L
+13.2%
✔ Value Signal
Back Alcaraz
BF Price
1.44
Edge
+14.2%
Stake
1.5%
⚡ Inplay Signal
Lay Zverev
Price
1.32
Choke
0.71
Score
5-3*
32,665
Matches Tracked
ATP + WTA 2022–present
55,870
Feature Snapshots
Serve, pressure, weather, Elo
100%
Weather Coverage
Wind, temp, humidity per match
2
Dedicated Models
WTA V3 + ATP V1 ensembles
🎯
Pressure Profiles
Choke index, closing rate, tiebreak win %, deciding set record for every player.
🌦️
Weather-Adjusted Analysis
Hold % in wind, ace rate in cold, indoor/outdoor splits. Data nobody else has.
📈
Surface-Matched Elo
WElo ratings per surface with 8-week momentum tracking. Pre-match Elo, no leakage.
💰
Betfair Price Comparison
Model fair price vs live Betfair odds. Orange-highlighted when real market price is available.

Included with Premium at £37.50/month

⚡ Get PremiumView Pricing →

Tennis Trading API

A live REST API delivering tennis trading signals, pre-match probabilities, and player pressure profiles in JSON. Built for Betfair automation and Polymarket tennis trading.

⚡
Now Live
Tennis Data API from £59/mo + Top 250 player data CSV downloads. View full documentation
  • Pre-match win probability — every ATP/WTA match
  • Live inplay edge vs Betfair market price
  • Player choke index and closing rate data
  • Polymarket-compatible probability endpoint
  • Signal webhooks for instant delivery
  • Simple REST + JSON — docs included
GET /v1/signals/today
X-API-Key: fb_your_key

{
  "status": "ok",
  "data": [{
    "tournament": "Roland Garros",
    "player1": "Alcaraz",
    "player2": "Zverev",
    "p1_win_probability": 0.5823,
    "p1_fair_odds": 1.72,
    "confidence": 0.847,
    "recommended_stake_pct": 2.5
  }]
}
View API Documentation See Pricing

Tennis Trading Insights

Strategy guides, player analysis, and Betfair trading insights from the fault.bet model.

RIVALRY · FULL BREAKDOWN

Alcaraz vs Sinner: The Complete Head-to-Head

14 min read · Updated 1 Jun 2026 · Rivalry

All 16 meetings, surface by surface, every Slam and final. Alcaraz leads 9–7 — but Sinner has won 3 of the last 4. The deciding-set pattern nobody prices right.

 ROLAND GARROS · ATP

Roland Garros 2026 ATP Preview — Alcaraz, Sinner, Djokovic and the Clay Field

9 min read · 7 May 2026 · Slam Preview

Alcaraz defending after a Rome injury scare. Sinner hunting his first French at world #1. Ruud and Tsitsipas under-priced on clay. The full pre-draw read.

 ROLAND GARROS · WTA

Roland Garros 2026 WTA Preview — Swiatek, Gauff, Sabalenka, Andreeva

9 min read · 7 May 2026 · Slam Preview

Swiatek's hunt for a fifth title. Gauff defending. Sabalenka at #1 but exposed on slow clay. Andreeva's choke index says she belongs in the conversation.

 Model

How We Built the fault.bet Model That Finds Mispriced Tennis Markets

8 min read · Technical Deep-Dive

From 1.8M matches to live signals — the architecture, feature engineering and results behind the engine that prices every match.
Read all articles →

Tennis Trading FAQs

Everything you need to know about Betfair tennis trading with fault.bet.

Yes — fault.bet is fully live. Pre-match signals are delivered daily to Telegram at 9am, and inplay signals fire during matches across ATP and WTA events. Our verified track record is publicly tracked at fault.bet/results.
We offer two plans: Signals (£20/month) — daily pre-match value signals delivered to Telegram at 8am with faultbet staking advice. Premium (£37.50/month) — everything in Signals plus the live dashboard at app.fault.bet, inplay Telegram alerts, pressure profiles, and match analysis.
The Choke Index measures how often a player fails to serve out a set when leading 5-3 or 5-4 — compared to the tour average. Players with a Choke Index above 0.50 are historically far more likely to drop that lead than Betfair's market implies. This data powers several of our inplay strategies including Serve-Out Lay and Choke Match Lay.
Tipsters give opinions. fault.bet gives model outputs — built on 1.6 million matches, 27 predictive features, and player-specific pressure profiles no human analyst tracks consistently. Every signal includes the exact edge over market price, confidence score, and proportional staking recommendation. Every result is publicly tracked at fault.bet/results.
We offer two plans: Signals (£20/month) for daily pre-match Telegram signals, and Premium (£37.50/month) which adds the live dashboard and inplay alerts. Both cover ATP and WTA.
A lay bet on Betfair means betting that a player will NOT win. When our model identifies a player significantly overpriced by the market — typically due to high Choke Index, poor closing rate, or fatigue — laying them captures that edge. Our inplay signals include both back and lay recommendations depending on the score state and player pressure profile.
fault.bet runs 7 inplay strategies scanning every live match every 60 seconds: Serve-Out Lay (high choke players at 5-3/5-4), Break-Back Momentum (back just-broken player at inflated price), Double Break Back (longshot recovery plays), Fatigue Fade (back fresher player in deciding set), Deciding Set Specialist (back strong closers), Tiebreak Specialist, and Choke Match Lay. View the live track record at fault.bet/inplay-results.

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