fault.betPlayersAlex Bolt
Alex Bolt photo
ATP · Player Profile

Alex Bolt

ATP · Australia · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-14
At a glance · Alex Bolt

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Active
7 days rest · 2 matches in 28d
Last match
7d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +47 pts

Model carry-in

Alex Bolt sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 393-292 (57.4%) across 685 matches — hard 262-195, clay 55-61, grass 76-36. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1870
Grass
1738
Clay
1736
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1064.8%
Hold rate vs 11–5080.8%
Hold rate vs 51–10083.6%
Hold rate vs 100+84.1%

How well Alex Bolt holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Dayne Kelly 11 meetings6–5
Luke Saville 8 meetings3–5
Omar Jasika 8 meetings2–6
Blake Mott 7 meetings6–1
Hiroki Moriya 7 meetings5–2
Christopher Oconnell 6 meetings4–2

Full data & recent form

PREMIUM
Unlock Alex Bolt’s full profile
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
Try free for 7 days →
143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2085
top tier
Hard Welo
1870
-214 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.469
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1870 (-214)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w6-2
Clay
Welo1736 (-349)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-2
Grass
Welo1738 (-347)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-14
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo53.4%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo56.5%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Mattia BellucciTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-14 · H · R326-7 7-5 6-3
W vs Justin MackenzieTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-13 · H · R324-6 6-1 7-6
L vs Lukas NeumayerRoland Garros · 2026-05-18 · C · R326-0 6-1
L vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryU.S.Men's Clay Court Championships · 2026-04-01 · C · R646-7 6-0 6-3
W vs Yifan WuU.S.Men's Clay Court Championships · 2026-03-30 · C · R1287-6 6-2
W vs Yibing WuHouston ATP 2026 · 2026-03-30 · H ·
W vs Andres AndradeHouston ATP 2026 · 2026-03-29 · H ·
W vs Alex RybakovHouston ATP 2026 · 2026-03-28 · H ·
W vs Sho ShimabukuroMiami ATP · 2026-03-16 · H ·
L vs Bryan SheltonWimbledon · 2025-07-01 · G · R1286-4 7-6 7-6
Career splits
Overall393-292 (57.4%)
Hard262-195 (57.3%)
Clay55-61 (47.4%)
Grass76-36 (67.9%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Mattia BellucciTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-14 · H@ 2.74 · LOST · -0.81u
Frequently asked
How old is Alex Bolt?

Alex Bolt was born on 05 January 1993, making them 33 years old and represents Australia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Alex Bolt in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Alex Bolt has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Alex Bolt's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Alex Bolt's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1870 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 6-2.

How does Alex Bolt perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.469 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Alex Bolt's career win rate?

Alex Bolt has won 393 of 685 matches in our database (57.4%). By surface: hard 262-195, clay 55-61, grass 76-36.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Alex Bolt?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Alex Bolt. Record: 0 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Alex Bolt play on?

Alex Bolt competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

Daily ATP signals + full player dashboards

Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium

Try free for 7 days →
Our signal record on Alex Bolt: 0W 1L · every pick logged at /results
🔔 Get an alert when Alex Bolt next plays

Drop your email and we'll send the model's read — price, edge and projected hold — the morning Alex Bolt is next on court. Free.

Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-14. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling