Matias Soto
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1773.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Matias Soto sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 112-71 (61.2%) across 183 matches — hard 35-26, clay 77-45. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
Full data & recent form
How old is Matias Soto?
Matias Soto was born on 27 April 1999, making them 27 years old and represents Chile. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Matias Soto in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Matias Soto has gone 4-1 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Matias Soto's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Matias Soto's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1773 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 1-0.
How does Matias Soto perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.383 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Matias Soto's career win rate?
Matias Soto has won 112 of 183 matches in our database (61.2%). By surface: hard 35-26, clay 77-45, grass 0-0.
How often does Matias Soto hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Matias Soto to hold 62.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
What tour does Matias Soto play on?
Matias Soto competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-02-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling