fault.betPlayersAlex Molcan
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ATP · Player Profile

Alex Molcan

ATP · Slovakia · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-22
At a glance · Alex Molcan

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
1 day rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 2 months↓ -104 pts

Model carry-in

Alex Molcan sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 263-186 (58.6%) across 449 matches — hard 100-78, clay 156-101, grass 7-7. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1969
Hard
1937
Grass
1576
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1057.1%
Hold rate vs 11–5067.6%
Hold rate vs 51–10073.6%
Hold rate vs 100+77.4%

How well Alex Molcan holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Filip Horansky 4 meetings2–2
Dennis Novak 4 meetings1–3
Jan Mertl 4 meetings1–3
Duje Ajdukovic 3 meetings3–0
Danylo Kalenichenko 3 meetings3–0

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2098
top tier
Grass Welo
1576
-521 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.423
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1937 (-160)
Hold % (52w)70.4%
Last 52w3-2
Clay
Welo1969 (-129)
Hold % (52w)79.2%
Last 52w6-3
Grass
Welo1576 (-521)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-22
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo58.6%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo55.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Fabian MarozsanVanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2026-06-22 · G · R322-6 7-6 7-6
W vs Murphy CassoneVanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2026-06-21 · G · R326-4 4-6 6-4
W vs Ziga SeskoVanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2026-06-20 · G · R326-2 6-2
L vs Felix GillRoland Garros · 2026-05-20 · C · R322-6 7-5 7-6
W vs Oliver CrawfordRoland Garros · 2026-05-19 · C · R321-6 6-4 6-1
L vs Bryan SheltonBMW Open · 2026-04-18 · C · SF6-3 6-4
L vs Ben SheltonBMW Open by Bitpanda · 2026-04-18 · H · R326-3 6-4
W vs Denis ShapovalovBMW Open · 2026-04-17 · C · QF6-4 6-4
W vs Daniel AltmaierBMW Open · 2026-04-16 · C · R646-4 7-6
W vs Alexander BublikBMW Open · 2026-04-14 · C · R1286-4 6-2
Career splits
Overall263-186 (58.6%)
Hard100-78 (56.2%)
Clay156-101 (60.7%)
Grass7-7 (50.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Alex MolcanVanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2026-06-21 · G@ 2.76 · LOST · -0.90u
Backed vs Roberto Carballes BaenaBMW Open by Bitpanda · 2026-04-11 · H@ 1.53 · WON · +1.06u
Faded vs Alex MolcanTiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · 2026-04-03 · H@ 1.42 · WON · +0.74u
Faded vs Alex MolcanTiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · 2026-04-01 · H@ 1.74 · LOST · -2.00u
Frequently asked
How old is Alex Molcan?

Alex Molcan was born on 01 December 1997, making them 28 years old and represents Slovakia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Alex Molcan in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Alex Molcan has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Alex Molcan's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Alex Molcan's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1969 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 6-3.

How does Alex Molcan perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.423 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Alex Molcan's career win rate?

Alex Molcan has won 263 of 449 matches in our database (58.6%). By surface: hard 100-78, clay 156-101, grass 7-7.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Alex Molcan?

Yes — we've issued 4 settled signals involving Alex Molcan. Record: 2 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Alex Molcan play on?

Alex Molcan competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Alex Molcan: 2W 2L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-22. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling