fault.betPlayersAdrian Mannarino
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ATP · Player Profile

Adrian Mannarino

ATP · France · Updated 30 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-30
Next matchToday · 10:00
vs Titouan Droguet
Wimbledon · Grass · 22°C · 10 mph wind
Our model66%Market64%Price1.57Edge+2.1%
At a glance · Adrian Mannarino

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Well-rested
9 days rest · 8 matches in 28d
Last match
9d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +52 pts

Model carry-in

Adrian Mannarino sits in the below tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 690-572 (54.7%) across 1262 matches — hard 511-374, clay 74-126, grass 97-66. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1902
Clay
1782
Grass
1668
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1065.9%
Hold rate vs 11–5071.0%
Hold rate vs 51–10077.8%
Hold rate vs 100+77.9%

How well Adrian Mannarino holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Albert Ramos 12 meetings6–6
Andreas Seppi 11 meetings6–5
Dominic Thiem 10 meetings2–8
John Isner 10 meetings2–8
Ricardas Berankis 9 meetings5–4

Full data & recent form

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A visual Player Lab — serve/return radar, surface power, form & clutch index — plus surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, the full service & return profile, recent form and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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152W 200L · +17.5% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Adrian Mannarino’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the ATP field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
1645
below tour median
Grass Welo
1631
in line with overall (-14)
Choke Index
0.659
below tour median — fades in pressure moments
Projected Hold
68.0%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1902 (+257)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w24-19
Clay
Welo1782 (+136)
Hold % (52w)62.5%
Last 52w0-6
Grass
Welo1631
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-2
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-30
Hold rate service games won75.3%
Break rate return games won19.3%
First serve in 1st serves landing in59.0%
Ace rate aces per service point19.9%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo63.2%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo63.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down24.8%
Collapse rate lost from a set up39.2%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Nuno BorgesVanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2026-06-21 · G · R326-2 6-2
L vs Arthur FeryHSBC Championships · 2026-06-17 · H · R327-6 6-4
W vs Jakub MensikQueen's Club Championships · 2026-06-16 · G · R1285-7 7-6 7-6
W vs Jakub MensikHSBC Championships · 2026-06-16 · H · R325-7 7-6 7-6
L vs Alex De MinaurLibéma Open · 2026-06-13 · H · R326-4 6-0
W vs Zhizhen ZhangLibéma Open · 2026-06-12 · H · R327-6 6-3
W vs Arthur RinderknechLibéma Open · 2026-06-11 · H · R327-6 3-6 6-3
W vs Gabriel DialloLibéma Open · 2026-06-09 · H · R326-4 3-6 7-5
L vs Ugo HumbertRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-3 6-4 6-3
L vs Raphael CollignonGonet Geneva Open · 2026-05-19 · C · R326-3 7-6
Career splits
Overall690-572 (54.7%)
Hard511-374 (57.7%)
Clay74-126 (37.0%)
Grass97-66 (59.5%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Nuno BorgesVanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2026-06-21 · G@ 2.20 · LOST · -0.93u
Backed vs Arthur FeryHSBC Championships · 2026-06-17 · H@ 1.76 · LOST · -1.57u
Backed vs Damir DzumhurInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · C@ 3.95 · LOST · -0.49u
Backed vs Nuno BorgesBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-13 · C@ 4.30 · LOST · -0.66u
Frequently asked
How old is Adrian Mannarino?

Adrian Mannarino was born on 29 June 1988, making them 38 years old and represents France. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Adrian Mannarino in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Adrian Mannarino has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Adrian Mannarino's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Adrian Mannarino's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1902 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 24-19.

How does Adrian Mannarino perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.659 — below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Adrian Mannarino's career win rate?

Adrian Mannarino has won 690 of 1262 matches in our database (54.7%). By surface: hard 511-374, clay 74-126, grass 97-66.

How often does Adrian Mannarino hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Adrian Mannarino to hold 68.0% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Adrian Mannarino?

Yes — we've issued 4 settled signals involving Adrian Mannarino. Record: 0 wins, 4 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Adrian Mannarino play on?

Adrian Mannarino competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

Daily ATP signals + full player dashboards

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Our signal record on Adrian Mannarino: 0W 4L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-30. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling