fault.betPlayersAlina Charaeva
WTA · Player Profile

Alina Charaeva

WTA · Russia · Updated 25 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-24
At a glance · Alina Charaeva

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches · 2W streak
Fitness
Tournament grinder
1 day rest · 10 matches in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 8 months↓ -55 pts

Model carry-in

Alina Charaeva sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 153-91 (62.7%) across 244 matches — hard 103-60, clay 48-31, grass 2-0. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1842
Clay
1717
Grass
1532
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Lucia Cortez Llorca 5 meetings3–2
Anastasia Zakharova 4 meetings0–4
Valeriya Yushchenko 3 meetings2–1
Manon Leonard 3 meetings1–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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149W 196L · +16.9% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1947
tour median
Grass Welo
1532
-415 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.341
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1842 (-105)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w15-11
Clay
Welo1717 (-230)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-2
Grass
Welo1532 (-415)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-0
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-24
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo47.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo58.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Caroline WernerWimbledon · 2026-06-24 · G · R325-7 6-4 6-0
W vs Elizabeth MandlikWimbledon · 2026-06-23 · G · R326-2 6-4
L vs Ayla AksuFigueira Da Foz Ladies Open · 2026-06-20 · H · R326-3 6-7 7-6
W vs Susan BandecchiFigueira Da Foz Ladies Open · 2026-06-19 · H · R325-7 6-2 7-5
W vs Anastasia KulikovaFigueira Da Foz Ladies Open · 2026-06-17 · H · R326-2 6-2
W vs Manon LeonardFigueira Da Foz Ladies Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R326-0 6-0
L vs Polina KudermetovaThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-07 · H · R326-3 4-6 6-4
W vs Talia GibsonThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-07 · H · R326-2 7-6
L vs Alexandra EalaLexus Birmingham Open · 2026-06-04 · H · R326-2 7-5
W vs Greet MinnenLexus Birmingham Open · 2026-06-02 · H · R326-3 6-1
Career splits
Overall153-91 (62.7%)
Hard103-60 (63.2%)
Clay48-31 (60.8%)
Grass2-0 (100.0%)
Frequently asked
How old is Alina Charaeva?

Alina Charaeva was born on 27 May 2002, making them 24 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Alina Charaeva in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Alina Charaeva has gone 4-1 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Alina Charaeva's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Alina Charaeva's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1842 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 15-11.

How does Alina Charaeva perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.341 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Alina Charaeva's career win rate?

Alina Charaeva has won 153 of 244 matches in our database (62.7%). By surface: hard 103-60, clay 48-31, grass 2-0.

What tour does Alina Charaeva play on?

Alina Charaeva competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-24. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling