fault.betPlayersQinwen Zheng
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WTA · Player Profile

Qinwen Zheng

WTA · China · Updated 22 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-22
Next matchToday · 11:30
vs Solana Sierra
Bad Homburg Open powered by Solarwatt · Hard
Our model51%Market68%Price1.46Edge+16.1%
At a glance · Qinwen Zheng

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
5 days rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
5d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -373 pts

Model carry-in

Qinwen Zheng sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 211-100 (67.8%) across 311 matches — hard 131-67, clay 79-27, grass 1-6. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1946
Hard
1834
Grass
1592
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1074.7%
Hold rate vs 11–5074.6%
Hold rate vs 51–10082.1%
Hold rate vs 100+90.0%

How well Qinwen Zheng holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Jack Staton 4 meetings4–0
Foster Rogers 4 meetings2–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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144W 191L · +15.0% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1989
tour median
Hard Welo
2036
+47 above overall · surface specialism
Choke Index
0.429
tour-median
Projected Hold
76.4%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo2036 (+47)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w8-6
Clay
Welo1946 (-43)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-2
Grass
Welo1592 (-397)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-22
Hold rate service games won69.7%
Break rate return games won29.6%
First serve in 1st serves landing in57.3%
Ace rate aces per service point77.5%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo75.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo54.5%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down33.7%
Collapse rate lost from a set up29.5%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Talia GibsonLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-17 · H · R326-3 7-6
W vs Maria SakkariLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R324-6 7-6 6-4
L vs Jaqueline CristianThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-08 · H · R326-4 7-6
L vs Maja ChwalinskaRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-4 6-0
L vs Jelena OstapenkoInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · H · R324-6 6-4 6-4
W vs Cristina BucsaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R327-6 6-2
W vs Artur BondarInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-05 · C · R1283-6 6-3 6-4
W vs Anna BondarInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-05 · H · R323-6 6-3 6-4
L vs Elena RybakinaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-26 · C · R324-6 6-4 6-3
W vs Sofia KeninMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-24 · C · R321-6 6-3 6-3
Career splits
Overall211-100 (67.8%)
Hard131-67 (66.2%)
Clay79-27 (74.5%)
Grass1-6 (14.3%)
Frequently asked
How old is Qinwen Zheng?

Qinwen Zheng was born on 08 October 2002, making them 23 years old and represents China. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Qinwen Zheng in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Qinwen Zheng has gone 1-4 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Qinwen Zheng's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Qinwen Zheng's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1946 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 2-2.

How does Qinwen Zheng perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.429 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Qinwen Zheng's career win rate?

Qinwen Zheng has won 211 of 311 matches in our database (67.8%). By surface: hard 131-67, clay 79-27, grass 1-6.

How often does Qinwen Zheng hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Qinwen Zheng to hold 76.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Qinwen Zheng play on?

Qinwen Zheng competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-22. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling