fault.betPlayersClara Tauson
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WTA · Player Profile

Clara Tauson

WTA · Denmark · Updated 25 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-25
Next matchToday · 15:00
vs Karolina Muchova
Bad Homburg Open powered by Solarwatt · Hard
Our model29%Market33%Price3.05Edge+2.4%
At a glance · Clara Tauson

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 2W streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
1 day rest · 4 matches in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -117 pts

Model carry-in

Clara Tauson sits in the challenger crossover band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 255-124 (67.3%) across 379 matches — hard 185-88, clay 56-30, grass 3-4. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1904
Hard
1808
Grass
1615
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1062.5%
Hold rate vs 11–5071.9%
Hold rate vs 51–10069.9%
Hold rate vs 100+75.5%

How well Clara Tauson holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Foster Rogers 6 meetings3–3
Anna Blinkova 4 meetings2–2
David Lucas Ambrozic 3 meetings3–0
John Pierre Fruttero 3 meetings3–0

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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149W 196L · +16.9% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1790
challenger crossover
Hard Welo
1846
+56 above overall · surface specialism
Choke Index
0.240
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
65.7%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1846 (+56)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w17-17
Clay
Welo1904 (+114)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Grass
Welo1615 (-175)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-25
Hold rate service games won66.0%
Break rate return games won31.5%
First serve in 1st serves landing in64.0%
Ace rate aces per service point58.3%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo46.7%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo25.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down10.5%
Collapse rate lost from a set up21.2%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Qinwen ZhengBad Homburg Open powered by Solarwatt · 2026-06-24 · H · R325-7 6-4 6-2
W vs Diana ShnaiderBad Homburg Open powered by Solarwatt · 2026-06-22 · H · R326-4 6-4
L vs Diane ParryVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R326-3 6-4
L vs Mia PohankovaLibéma Open · 2026-06-08 · H · R326-4 6-4
L vs Daria SnigurRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R323-6 7-5 6-2
L vs Jaqueline CristianInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-20 · H · R326-1 7-5
L vs Oleksandra OliynykovaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R326-1 3-1
L vs Talia GibsonBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-08 · H · R327-6 4-6 6-4
W vs Yulia PutintsevaBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-06 · H · R647-6 6-2
L vs Jessica PegulaDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships · 2026-02-19 · H · QF6-3 2-6 6-4
Career splits
Overall255-124 (67.3%)
Hard185-88 (67.8%)
Clay56-30 (65.1%)
Grass3-4 (42.9%)
Frequently asked
How old is Clara Tauson?

Clara Tauson was born on 21 December 2002, making them 23 years old and represents Denmark. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Clara Tauson in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Clara Tauson has gone 2-3 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Clara Tauson's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Clara Tauson's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1904 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 0-1.

How does Clara Tauson perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.240 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Clara Tauson's career win rate?

Clara Tauson has won 255 of 379 matches in our database (67.3%). By surface: hard 185-88, clay 56-30, grass 3-4.

How often does Clara Tauson hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Clara Tauson to hold 65.7% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Clara Tauson play on?

Clara Tauson competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-25. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling