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ATP · Player Profile

Colton Smith

ATP · United States · Updated 06 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-25
At a glance · Colton Smith

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
11 days rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
11d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +54 pts

Model carry-in

Colton Smith sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 38-20 (65.5%) across 58 matches — hard 35-18, clay 1-1, grass 2-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1897
Clay
1553
Grass
1532
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Andre Ilagan 3 meetings3–0

Full data & recent form

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A visual Player Lab — serve/return radar, surface power, form & clutch index — plus surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, the full service & return profile, recent form and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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157W 208L · +15.7% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Colton Smith’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the ATP field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
2112
top tier
Grass Welo
1532
-580 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.359
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1897 (-216)
Hold % (52w)82.3%
Last 52w5-2
Clay
Welo1553 (-559)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Grass
Welo1532 (-580)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-25
Hold rate service games won88.9%
Break rate return games won29.2%
First serve in 1st serves landing in0.0%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo41.7%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo55.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Michael ZhengWimbledon · 2026-06-25 · G · R326-4 4-6 6-2 6-3
W vs Borna GojoWimbledon · 2026-06-24 · G · R326-4 6-4
W vs Alexandre Lord AndradeWimbledon · 2026-06-22 · G · R326-3 4-6 6-3
L vs Jaime FariaRoland Garros · 2026-05-20 · C · R326-1 3-6 6-3
W vs Alvaro Guillen MezaRoland Garros · 2026-05-19 · C · R327-5 6-1
W vs Thiago Agustin TiranteHouston ATP 2026 · 2026-03-31 · H ·
W vs Fabian MarozsanCincinnati ATP · 2025-08-08 · H ·
L vs Tristan SchoolkateCincinnati ATP · 2025-08-05 · H ·
L vs Mackenzie McdonaldWashington ATP · 2025-07-21 · H ·
W vs Tyler ZinkWashington ATP · 2025-07-20 · H ·
Career splits
Overall38-20 (65.5%)
Hard35-18 (66.0%)
Clay1-1 (50.0%)
Grass2-1 (66.7%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Thiago Agustin TiranteFayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · 2026-03-31 · H@ 2.42 · LOST · -1.81u
Frequently asked
How old is Colton Smith?

Colton Smith was born on 05 March 2003, making them 23 years old and represents United States. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Colton Smith in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Colton Smith has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Colton Smith's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Colton Smith's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1897 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 5-2.

How does Colton Smith perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.359 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Colton Smith's career win rate?

Colton Smith has won 38 of 58 matches in our database (65.5%). By surface: hard 35-18, clay 1-1, grass 2-1.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Colton Smith?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Colton Smith. Record: 0 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Colton Smith play on?

Colton Smith competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Colton Smith: 0W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-25. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling