fault.betPlayersDarya Astakhova
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WTA · Player Profile

Darya Astakhova

WTA · Russia · Updated 03 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-03
Next matchToday · 11:00
vs Lisa Pigato
Open delle Puglie Trofeo · Hard
Our model40%Market37%Price2.68Edge+2.9%
At a glance · Darya Astakhova

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches · 2W streak
Fitness
Active
2 days rest · 1 match in 28d
Last match
2d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d

Model carry-in

Darya Astakhova sits in the below tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as below tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 190-91 (67.6%) across 281 matches — hard 50-28, clay 139-62. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1836
Clay
1717
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 3 meetings3–0
John Bryan 3 meetings3–0
Maja Chwalinska 3 meetings3–0
Michaela Bayerlova 3 meetings3–0
Oleksandra Oliynykova 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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128W 157L · +19.6% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1472
below tour median
Hard Welo
1437
-35 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.500
tour-median
Projected Hold
40.7%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1437 (-35)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-0
Clay
Welo1717 (+244)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-03
Hold rate service games won57.1%
Break rate return games won36.7%
First serve in 1st serves landing in66.2%
Ace rate aces per service point2.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo66.7%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down18.8%
Collapse rate lost from a set up20.2%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Wang XinyuOpen delle Puglie Trofeo · 2026-06-01 · H · R326-4 6-1
W vs Diane ParryBeijing WTA · 2025-09-22 · H ·
L vs Emerson JonesW60 Gold Coast · 2023-11-27 · H · R326-4 2-3 RET
W vs Michaela BayerlovaW60 Brisbane · 2023-11-20 · H · R326-3 6-3
W vs Joanna GarlandW60 Brisbane · 2023-11-20 · H · SF1-6 6-3 6-4
W vs Sakura HosogiW60 Brisbane · 2023-11-20 · H · QF7-6(5) 6-3
L vs Taylah PrestonW60 Brisbane · 2023-11-20 · H · F6-3 6-4
W vs Maya JointW60 Brisbane · 2023-11-20 · H · R162-6 7-5 6-1
L vs Andre DiasW40 Heraklion · 2023-11-06 · C · R326-1 6-2
L vs Elio AlvarezBucharest 125 · 2023-09-11 · C · R326-1 6-2
Career splits
Overall190-91 (67.6%)
Hard50-28 (64.1%)
Clay139-62 (69.2%)
Grass
Frequently asked
How old is Darya Astakhova?

Darya Astakhova was born on 26 January 2002, making them 24 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Darya Astakhova in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Darya Astakhova has gone 4-1 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Darya Astakhova's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Darya Astakhova's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1836 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 2-0.

How does Darya Astakhova perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.500 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Darya Astakhova's career win rate?

Darya Astakhova has won 190 of 281 matches in our database (67.6%). By surface: hard 50-28, clay 139-62, grass 0-0.

How often does Darya Astakhova hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Darya Astakhova to hold 40.7% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Darya Astakhova play on?

Darya Astakhova competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-03. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling