fault.betPlayersDarya Astakhova
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WTA · Player Profile

Darya Astakhova

WTA · Russia · Updated 18 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-07-15
At a glance · Darya Astakhova

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Active
3 days rest · 2 matches in 28d
Last match
3d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 9 months↓ -96 pts

Model carry-in

Darya Astakhova sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 194-94 (67.4%) across 288 matches — hard 54-31, clay 139-62. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1808
Clay
1717
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 3 meetings3–0
John Bryan 3 meetings3–0
Michaela Bayerlova 3 meetings3–0
Oleksandra Oliynykova 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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Player Lab

A visual read on Darya Astakhova’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the WTA field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
2046
tour median
Hard Welo
1808
-239 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.281
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1808 (-239)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w6-3
Clay
Welo1717 (-330)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-07-15
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo51.7%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo65.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Noma Noha AkugueATV Bancomat Tennis Open · 2026-07-15 · H · R325-7 6-2 6-3
W vs Kajsa Rinaldo PerssonATV Bancomat Tennis Open · 2026-07-13 · H · R326-3 6-1
L vs Luisina GiovanniniInternazionali Femminili Di Brescia · 2026-06-17 · H · R326-3 6-1
W vs Noemi BasilettiInternazionali Femminili Di Brescia · 2026-06-16 · H · R322-6 6-1 6-3
L vs Tyra Caterina GrantOpen delle Puglie Trofeo · 2026-06-06 · H · R326-2 6-3
W vs Chloe PaquetOpen delle Puglie Trofeo · 2026-06-05 · H · R327-5 6-3
W vs Lisa PigatoOpen delle Puglie Trofeo · 2026-06-03 · H · R326-3 2-6 6-3
W vs Wang XinyuOpen delle Puglie Trofeo · 2026-06-01 · H · R326-4 6-1
W vs Diane ParryBeijing WTA · 2025-09-22 · H ·
L vs Emerson JonesW60 Gold Coast · 2023-11-27 · H · R326-4 2-3 RET
Career splits
Overall194-94 (67.4%)
Hard54-31 (63.5%)
Clay139-62 (69.2%)
Grass
Frequently asked
How old is Darya Astakhova?

Darya Astakhova was born on 26 January 2002, making them 24 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Darya Astakhova in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Darya Astakhova has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Darya Astakhova's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Darya Astakhova's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1808 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 6-3.

How does Darya Astakhova perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.281 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Darya Astakhova's career win rate?

Darya Astakhova has won 194 of 288 matches in our database (67.4%). By surface: hard 54-31, clay 139-62, grass 0-0.

What tour does Darya Astakhova play on?

Darya Astakhova competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-07-15. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling