Aryna Sabalenka
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1971.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Aryna Sabalenka sits in the top tier band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 392-152 (72.1%) across 544 matches — hard 282-101, clay 88-39, grass 17-12. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
How well Aryna Sabalenka holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.
Full data & recent form
How old is Aryna Sabalenka?
Aryna Sabalenka was born on 05 May 1998, making them 28 years old and represents Belarus. They compete on the WTA tour.
Is Aryna Sabalenka in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Aryna Sabalenka has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Aryna Sabalenka's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Aryna Sabalenka's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1971 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 37-5.
How does Aryna Sabalenka perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.325 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Aryna Sabalenka's career win rate?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 392 of 544 matches in our database (72.1%). By surface: hard 282-101, clay 88-39, grass 17-12.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Aryna Sabalenka?
Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Aryna Sabalenka. Record: 0 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Aryna Sabalenka play on?
Aryna Sabalenka competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-20. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling