Elise Mertens
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1897.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Elise Mertens sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 34-28 (54.8%) across 62 matches — hard 22-20, clay 9-7, grass 3-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
Full data & recent form
Is Elise Mertens in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Elise Mertens has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Elise Mertens's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Elise Mertens's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1897 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 21-15.
How does Elise Mertens perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.250 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Elise Mertens's career win rate?
Elise Mertens has won 34 of 62 matches in our database (54.8%). By surface: hard 22-20, clay 9-7, grass 3-1.
How often does Elise Mertens hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Elise Mertens to hold 67.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Elise Mertens?
Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Elise Mertens. Record: 1 wins, 0 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Elise Mertens play on?
Elise Mertens competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling