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WTA · Player Profile

Emiliana Arango

WTA · Colombia · Updated 13 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-13
Next matchToday · 10:00
vs Anna Bondar
Lexus Nottingham Open · Hard
Our model43%Market41%Price2.42Edge+2.1%
At a glance · Emiliana Arango

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Well-rested
20 days rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
20d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +61 pts

Model carry-in

Emiliana Arango sits in the below tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as below tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 204-174 (54.0%) across 378 matches — hard 75-81, clay 123-85, grass 6-6. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1844
Hard
1825
Grass
1631
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Renata Zarazua 4 meetings2–2
Michael Gutu 4 meetings1–3
Panna Udvardy 4 meetings1–3
Elizabeth Mandlik 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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135W 168L · +19.3% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1668
below tour median
Hard Welo
1562
-106 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.158
elite under pressure
Projected Hold
59.6%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1562 (-106)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w11-21
Clay
Welo1844 (+177)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-3
Grass
Welo1631 (-37)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-13
Hold rate service games won58.9%
Break rate return games won37.2%
First serve in 1st serves landing in70.9%
Ace rate aces per service point7.1%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo45.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo35.7%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down11.6%
Collapse rate lost from a set up24.1%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Marina Bassols RiberaRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R326-3 6-4
L vs Anna BondarGrand Prix Son Altesse Royale La Princesse Lalla Meryem · 2026-05-20 · H · R327-6 1-6 6-0
W vs Ella SeidelGrand Prix Son Altesse Royale La Princesse Lalla Meryem · 2026-05-19 · H · R326-3 4-6 6-1
L vs Noemi BasilettiInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-04 · H · R326-4 6-3
L vs Daria KasatkinaCatalonia Open Solgironès · 2026-04-28 · H · R326-2 3-6 7-6
L vs Linda NoskovaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-24 · C · R326-3 6-2
W vs Talia GibsonMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-22 · C · R326-3 6-2
L vs Panna UdvardyCopa Colsanitas · 2026-04-04 · C · SF6-7 6-3 7-6
W vs Varvara LepchenkoCopa Colsanitas · 2026-04-03 · C · QF6-4 6-3
L vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De RealesBogota WTA 2026 · 2026-04-02 · H ·
Career splits
Overall204-174 (54.0%)
Hard75-81 (48.1%)
Clay123-85 (59.1%)
Grass6-6 (50.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Emiliana ArangoMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-22 · C@ 1.97 · LOST · -2.00u
Faded vs Emiliana Arango · 2026-04-21@ 1.97 · LOST · -1.50u
Faded vs Emiliana ArangoCopa Colsanitas Colsubsidio · 2026-04-04 · H@ 1.94 · WON · +1.35u
Backed vs Oksana SelekhmetevaMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-18 · H@ 3.35 · LOST · -2.00u
Frequently asked
How old is Emiliana Arango?

Emiliana Arango was born on 28 November 2000, making them 25 years old and represents Colombia. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Emiliana Arango in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Emiliana Arango has gone 1-4 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Emiliana Arango's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Emiliana Arango's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1844 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 3-3.

How does Emiliana Arango perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.158 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Emiliana Arango's career win rate?

Emiliana Arango has won 204 of 378 matches in our database (54.0%). By surface: hard 75-81, clay 123-85, grass 6-6.

How often does Emiliana Arango hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Emiliana Arango to hold 59.6% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Emiliana Arango?

Yes — we've issued 4 settled signals involving Emiliana Arango. Record: 1 wins, 3 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Emiliana Arango play on?

Emiliana Arango competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Emiliana Arango: 1W 3L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-13. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling