fault.betPlayersDaria Kasatkina
Daria Kasatkina photo
WTA · Player Profile

Daria Kasatkina

WTA · Russia · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-22
At a glance · Daria Kasatkina

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 4L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
1 day rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -98 pts

Model carry-in

Daria Kasatkina sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 313-175 (64.1%) across 488 matches — hard 192-118, clay 99-45, grass 22-12. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1866
Clay
1864
Grass
1667
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1050.0%
Hold rate vs 11–5064.2%
Hold rate vs 51–10069.3%
Hold rate vs 100+63.1%

How well Daria Kasatkina holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Viktor Markov 8 meetings6–2
Christian Hubscher 7 meetings2–5
Kong Kiu Lee 6 meetings5–1
Alexander Vasilev 6 meetings4–2

Full data & recent form

PREMIUM
Unlock Daria Kasatkina’s full profile
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
Try free for 7 days →
146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1964
tour median
Grass Welo
1667
-297 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.342
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1866 (-98)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w17-14
Clay
Welo1864 (-99)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-3
Grass
Welo1667 (-297)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-2
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-22
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo50.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo62.1%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Mccartney KesslerLexus Eastbourne Open · 2026-06-22 · G · R326-3 7-6
L vs Anna BlinkovaLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-13 · H · R326-3 6-2
L vs Robin MontgomeryLibéma Open · 2026-06-08 · H · R325-7 6-0 6-4
L vs Aryna SabalenkaRoland Garros · 2026-05-30 · C · R326-0 7-5
W vs Susan BandecchiRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R327-5 7-6
W vs Zeynep SonmezRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-4 6-4
L vs Jaqueline CristianInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-21 · H · R327-6 3-6 6-2
W vs Peyton StearnsInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-19 · H · R326-1 6-3
W vs Liudmila SamsonovaInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-18 · H · R327-5 6-3
W vs Anastasia ZakharovaInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-17 · H · R326-4 6-2
Career splits
Overall313-175 (64.1%)
Hard192-118 (61.9%)
Clay99-45 (68.8%)
Grass22-12 (64.7%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Catherine McnallyInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · C@ 1.98 · LOST · -1.19u
Faded vs Daria KasatkinaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-22 · C@ 2.58 · WON · +1.93u
Frequently asked
How old is Daria Kasatkina?

Daria Kasatkina was born on 07 May 1997, making them 29 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Daria Kasatkina in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Daria Kasatkina has gone 1-4 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Daria Kasatkina's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Daria Kasatkina's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1866 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 17-14.

How does Daria Kasatkina perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.342 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Daria Kasatkina's career win rate?

Daria Kasatkina has won 313 of 488 matches in our database (64.1%). By surface: hard 192-118, clay 99-45, grass 22-12.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Daria Kasatkina?

Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Daria Kasatkina. Record: 1 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Daria Kasatkina play on?

Daria Kasatkina competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

Daily WTA signals + full player dashboards

Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium

Try free for 7 days →
Our signal record on Daria Kasatkina: 1W 1L · every pick logged at /results
🔔 Get an alert when Daria Kasatkina next plays

Drop your email and we'll send the model's read — price, edge and projected hold — the morning Daria Kasatkina is next on court. Free.

Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-22. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling