fault.betPlayersFrancesca Jones
WTA · Player Profile

Francesca Jones

WTA · Great Britain · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchTomorrow · 04:00
vs Jelena Ostapenko
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Grass
Our model42%Market35%Price2.86Edge+7.0%
At a glance · Francesca Jones

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 3L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
6 days rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
6d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -203 pts

Model carry-in

Francesca Jones sits in the below tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as below tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 191-115 (62.4%) across 306 matches — hard 34-32, clay 154-76, grass 2-6. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1956
Hard
1909
Grass
1479
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Andrea Del Federico 4 meetings3–1
Hugo Varela 4 meetings3–1
Owen Kirk 4 meetings2–2
Michael Gutu 4 meetings0–4
Shion Itsusaki 3 meetings3–0

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1546
below tour median
Grass Welo
1465
-81 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.192
elite under pressure
Projected Hold
38.2%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1909 (+363)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w9-7
Clay
Welo1956 (+410)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-2
Grass
Welo1465 (-81)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won52.8%
Break rate return games won36.8%
First serve in 1st serves landing in66.8%
Ace rate aces per service point11.3%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo72.7%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo50.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down22.6%
Collapse rate lost from a set up30.2%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Talia GibsonLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R326-3 5-7 7-6
L vs Laura SiegemundThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-09 · H · R326-2 6-3
L vs Marie BouzkovaRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-0 7-6
W vs Beatriz Haddad MaiaRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R321-6 7-6 6-2
L vs Yelyzaveta KotliarGrand Prix Son Altesse Royale La Princesse Lalla Meryem · 2026-05-19 · H · R322-6 6-3 6-4
L vs Maria TimofeevaIstanbul Open · 2026-05-08 · H · R327-6 6-3
W vs Carole MonnetIstanbul Open · 2026-05-07 · H · R326-2 3-6 6-2
W vs Ekaterine GorgodzeIstanbul Open · 2026-05-05 · H · R326-4 6-2
L vs Elina AvanesyanGrand Prix Open Villa de Madrid by Silverway · 2026-04-08 · C · R326-2 6-3
W vs Elizabeth MandlikGrand Prix Open Villa de Madrid by Silverway · 2026-04-06 · C · R324-6 7-6 7-6
Career splits
Overall191-115 (62.4%)
Hard34-32 (51.5%)
Clay154-76 (67.0%)
Grass2-6 (25.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Francesca JonesWTA Istanbul 2026 · 2026-05-05 · C@ 4.50 · WON · +1.54u
Frequently asked
How old is Francesca Jones?

Francesca Jones was born on 19 September 2000, making them 25 years old and represents Great Britain. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Francesca Jones in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Francesca Jones has gone 1-4 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Francesca Jones's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Francesca Jones's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1956 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 2-2.

How does Francesca Jones perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.192 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Francesca Jones's career win rate?

Francesca Jones has won 191 of 306 matches in our database (62.4%). By surface: hard 34-32, clay 154-76, grass 2-6.

How often does Francesca Jones hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Francesca Jones to hold 38.2% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Francesca Jones?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Francesca Jones. Record: 1 wins, 0 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Francesca Jones play on?

Francesca Jones competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Francesca Jones: 1W 0L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling