fault.betPlayersMarie Bouzkova
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WTA · Player Profile

Marie Bouzkova

WTA · — · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchToday · 11:00
vs Emma Navarro
Lexus Nottingham Open · Hard
Our model49%Market51%Price1.96Edge+1.8%
At a glance · Marie Bouzkova

Form & fitness

Form
Red-hot
last 10 matches · 4W streak
Fitness
Tournament grinder
1 day rest · 8 matches in 28d
Last match
yesterday
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 12 months↓ -78 pts

Model carry-in

Marie Bouzkova sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 47-31 (60.3%) across 78 matches — hard 35-23, clay 11-6, grass 1-2. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1862
Hard
1861
Grass
1627
Head-to-head · most-played opponents

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1983
tour median
Hard Welo
1771
-212 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.121
elite under pressure
Projected Hold
75.9%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1771 (-212)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w32-16
Clay
Welo1862 (-121)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w6-3
Grass
Welo1627 (-356)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-2
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won65.4%
Break rate return games won39.9%
First serve in 1st serves landing in69.2%
Ace rate aces per service point10.9%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo46.2%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo50.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down19.6%
Collapse rate lost from a set up10.0%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
W vs Karolina PliskovaLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-20 · H · R326-4 6-1
W vs Tatjana MariaLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-19 · H · R327-5 6-0
W vs Hannah KlugmanLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-18 · H · R327-5 6-2
W vs Tereza ValentovaLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R326-3 6-3
L vs Donna VekicThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-12 · H · R327-6 6-3
W vs Polina KudermetovaThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-09 · H · R326-0 6-3
L vs Mirra AndreevaRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C · R326-4 6-2
W vs Francesca JonesRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-0 7-6
W vs Lucia BronzettiRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R326-3 6-1
L vs Ann LiInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-21 · H · R326-3 7-5
Career splits
Overall47-31 (60.3%)
Hard35-23 (60.3%)
Clay11-6 (64.7%)
Grass1-2 (33.3%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Marie BouzkovaCopa Colsanitas Colsubsidio · 2026-04-02 · H@ 3.10 · LOST · -1.38u
Frequently asked
Is Marie Bouzkova in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Marie Bouzkova has gone 4-1 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Marie Bouzkova's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Marie Bouzkova's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1862 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 6-3.

How does Marie Bouzkova perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.121 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Marie Bouzkova's career win rate?

Marie Bouzkova has won 47 of 78 matches in our database (60.3%). By surface: hard 35-23, clay 11-6, grass 1-2.

How often does Marie Bouzkova hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Marie Bouzkova to hold 75.9% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Marie Bouzkova?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Marie Bouzkova. Record: 0 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Marie Bouzkova play on?

Marie Bouzkova competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Marie Bouzkova: 0W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling