fault.betPlayersFrancesco Maestrelli
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ATP · Player Profile

Francesco Maestrelli

ATP · Italy · Updated 15 Jul 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-22
At a glance · Francesco Maestrelli

Form & fitness

Form
Losing badly
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Active
23 days rest · 1 match in 28d
Last match
23d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 5 months↑ +50 pts

Model carry-in

Francesco Maestrelli sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 125-131 (48.8%) across 256 matches — hard 48-49, clay 77-79, grass 0-3. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1897
Clay
1811
Grass
1497
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Matteo Gigante 4 meetings2–2
Pedro Cachin 3 meetings3–0
Francesco Passaro 3 meetings2–1

Full data & recent form

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A visual Player Lab — serve/return radar, surface power, form & clutch index — plus surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, the full service & return profile, recent form and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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166W 220L · +19.5% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly

Player Lab

A visual read on Francesco Maestrelli’s serve, return, form and nerve — from the model’s feature store.

🎯 Serve / Return DNA
vs the ATP field · 50 = tour median
🏟️ Surface Power
rating by surface (wElo)
📈 Form Trend
rating swing · last 8 weeks
🧊 Clutch Index
break points · tiebreaks · deciders
Weighted Elo
2073
top tier
Grass Welo
1497
-576 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.450
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1897 (-176)
Hold % (52w)50.0%
Last 52w2-3
Clay
Welo1811 (-262)
Hold % (52w)70.9%
Last 52w1-6
Grass
Welo1497 (-576)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-22
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo51.9%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo48.9%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Max BasingWimbledon · 2026-06-22 · G · R324-6 7-6 6-4
L vs Roberto Carballes BaenaRoland Garros · 2026-05-20 · C · R322-6 6-3 6-3
W vs Rio NoguchiRoland Garros · 2026-05-19 · C · R323-6 7-6 6-2
L vs Roberto Bautista AgutInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R326-3 7-6
L vs Alberto BautistaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · C · R1286-3 7-6
L vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-20 · C · R326-4 6-4
L vs Daniel MeridaBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-11 · C · R327-5 6-4
W vs Alexander BlockxMonte Carlo ATP · 2026-04-04 · H ·
L vs Botic Van De ZandschulpTiriac Open · 2026-03-31 · C · R1286-3 6-2
L vs Rinky HijikataBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-06 · H · R1287-6 6-4
Career splits
Overall125-131 (48.8%)
Hard48-49 (49.5%)
Clay77-79 (49.4%)
Grass0-3 (0.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-20 · C@ 2.34 · LOST · -1.12u
Frequently asked
How old is Francesco Maestrelli?

Francesco Maestrelli was born on 21 December 2002, making them 23 years old and represents Italy. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Francesco Maestrelli in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Francesco Maestrelli has gone 1-4 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Francesco Maestrelli's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Francesco Maestrelli's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1897 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 2-3.

How does Francesco Maestrelli perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.450 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Francesco Maestrelli's career win rate?

Francesco Maestrelli has won 125 of 256 matches in our database (48.8%). By surface: hard 48-49, clay 77-79, grass 0-3.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Francesco Maestrelli?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Francesco Maestrelli. Record: 0 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Francesco Maestrelli play on?

Francesco Maestrelli competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium

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Our signal record on Francesco Maestrelli: 0W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-22. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling