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ATP · Player Profile

Flavio Cobolli

ATP · Italy · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-15
At a glance · Flavio Cobolli

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Tournament grinder
6 days rest · 7 matches in 28d
Last match
6d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -111 pts

Model carry-in

Flavio Cobolli sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 237-182 (56.6%) across 419 matches — hard 84-85, clay 144-89, grass 9-8. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1936
Hard
1830
Grass
1644
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1054.4%
Hold rate vs 11–5077.2%
Hold rate vs 51–10077.9%
Hold rate vs 100+88.0%

How well Flavio Cobolli holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Pavel Kotov 5 meetings4–1
Matteo Arnaldi 5 meetings2–3
Zdenek Kolar 4 meetings4–0

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2116
top tier
Hard Welo
1830
-286 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.403
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1830 (-286)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w17-22
Clay
Welo1936 (-180)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w14-4
Grass
Welo1644 (-472)
Hold % (52w)79.0%
Last 52w4-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-15
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo49.1%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo59.9%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Frances TiafoeTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R326-2 7-6
W vs Matteo ArnaldiRoland Garros · 2026-06-05 · C · R32
W vs Felix Auger-AliassimeRoland Garros · 2026-06-03 · C · R324-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
W vs Zachary SvajdaRoland Garros · 2026-06-01 · C · R326-2 6-3 6-7 7-6
W vs Learner TienRoland Garros · 2026-05-30 · C · R326-2 6-2 6-3
W vs Yibing WuRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R326-4 6-4 6-4
W vs Andrea PellegrinoRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-4 7-6 6-3
L vs Ignacio BuseBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-19 · C · R326-2 7-5
L vs Thiago Agustin TiranteInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-11 · H · R326-3 6-4
W vs Terence AtmaneInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · H · R327-6 6-3
Career splits
Overall237-182 (56.6%)
Hard84-85 (49.7%)
Clay144-89 (61.8%)
Grass9-8 (52.9%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Flavio CobolliInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-11 · C@ 3.10 · WON · +1.76u
Faded vs Flavio CobolliMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C@ 2.96 · LOST · -0.53u
Frequently asked
How old is Flavio Cobolli?

Flavio Cobolli was born on 06 May 2002, making them 24 years old and represents Italy. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Flavio Cobolli in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Flavio Cobolli has gone 4-1 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first) — in strong form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Flavio Cobolli's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Flavio Cobolli's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1936 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 14-4.

How does Flavio Cobolli perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.403 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Flavio Cobolli's career win rate?

Flavio Cobolli has won 237 of 419 matches in our database (56.6%). By surface: hard 84-85, clay 144-89, grass 9-8.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Flavio Cobolli?

Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Flavio Cobolli. Record: 1 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Flavio Cobolli play on?

Flavio Cobolli competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Flavio Cobolli: 1W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-15. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling