fault.betPlayersJacob Fearnley
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ATP · Player Profile

Jacob Fearnley

ATP · Great Britain · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchTomorrow · 04:00
vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Grass
Our model68%Edge0.0%
At a glance · Jacob Fearnley

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Active
26 days rest · 1 match in 28d
Last match
26d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -118 pts

Model carry-in

Jacob Fearnley sits in the challenger crossover band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 83-51 (61.9%) across 134 matches — hard 69-35, clay 4-10, grass 10-6. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1923
Clay
1800
Grass
1693
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Charles Broom 4 meetings2–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1799
challenger crossover
Grass Welo
1468
-331 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.625
below tour median — fades in pressure moments
Projected Hold
78.4%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1923 (+124)
Hold % (52w)71.0%
Last 52w11-14
Clay
Welo1800
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Grass
Welo1468 (-331)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won80.1%
Break rate return games won21.9%
First serve in 1st serves landing in68.3%
Ace rate aces per service point13.1%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo45.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo50.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down24.0%
Collapse rate lost from a set up44.6%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Juan Manuel CerundoloRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R326-2 7-6 7-6
L vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R327-6 4-6 6-2
W vs Aleksandar KovacevicInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-05 · H · R322-6 6-2 6-3
W vs Shintaro MochizukiInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-04 · H · R326-3 6-1
L vs Taylor FritzBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-08 · H · R646-3 6-7 6-1
W vs Damir DzumhurBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-05 · H · R1286-3 6-3
L vs Kamil MajchrzakAustralian Open · 2026-01-19 · H · R1287-6 7-5 3-6 7-6
W vs Quentin HalysAdelaide ATP 2026 · 2026-01-13 · H ·
W vs Aleksandar VukicAdelaide ATP 2026 · 2026-01-12 · H ·
W vs Dane SweenyBrisbane ATP 2026 · 2026-01-03 · H ·
Career splits
Overall83-51 (61.9%)
Hard69-35 (66.3%)
Clay4-10 (28.6%)
Grass10-6 (62.5%)
Frequently asked
How old is Jacob Fearnley?

Jacob Fearnley was born on 15 July 2001, making them 24 years old and represents Great Britain. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Jacob Fearnley in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Jacob Fearnley has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Jacob Fearnley's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Jacob Fearnley's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1923 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 11-14.

How does Jacob Fearnley perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.625 — below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Jacob Fearnley's career win rate?

Jacob Fearnley has won 83 of 134 matches in our database (61.9%). By surface: hard 69-35, clay 4-10, grass 10-6.

How often does Jacob Fearnley hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Jacob Fearnley to hold 78.4% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Jacob Fearnley play on?

Jacob Fearnley competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling