fault.betPlayersJuan Manuel Cerundolo
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ATP · Player Profile

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

ATP · Argentina · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchTomorrow · 04:00
vs Raphael Collignon
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Grass
Our model51%Market33%Price3.00Edge+17.3%
At a glance · Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Well-rested
20 days rest · 4 matches in 28d
Last match
20d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 10 months↓ -38 pts

Model carry-in

Juan Manuel Cerundolo sits in the tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 250-165 (60.2%) across 415 matches — hard 18-28, clay 232-134, grass 0-3. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1927
Hard
1871
Grass
1477
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Andrea Collarini 7 meetings5–2
Luciano Darderi 7 meetings3–4
Gonzalo Villanueva 6 meetings2–4
Juan Bautista Torres 5 meetings3–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1935
tour median
Grass Welo
1457
-478 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.143
elite under pressure
Projected Hold
81.1%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1871 (-65)
Hold % (52w)100.0%
Last 52w7-6
Clay
Welo1927
Hold % (52w)83.2%
Last 52w12-6
Grass
Welo1457 (-478)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won76.3%
Break rate return games won19.1%
First serve in 1st serves landing in53.4%
Ace rate aces per service point2.5%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo41.7%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo63.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down24.2%
Collapse rate lost from a set up17.3%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Matteo BerrettiniRoland Garros · 2026-06-01 · C · R326-3 7-6 7-6
W vs Martin LandaluceRoland Garros · 2026-05-30 · C · R326-4 6-7 7-6 6-7 7-6
W vs Jannik SinnerRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R323-6 2-6 7-5 6-1 6-1
W vs Jacob FearnleyRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R326-2 7-6 7-6
L vs Cristian GarinInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R327-6 7-5
L vs Luciano DarderiMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C · R326-1 6-3
W vs Daniel AltmaierMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-23 · C · R326-4 6-4
L vs Brandon NakashimaBarcelona Open · 2026-04-14 · C · R1286-3 7-5
W vs Jesper De JongBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-12 · C · R326-4 6-4
W vs Giulio ZeppieriBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-11 · C · R326-1 7-5
Career splits
Overall250-165 (60.2%)
Hard18-28 (39.1%)
Clay232-134 (63.4%)
Grass0-3 (0.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Juan Manuel CerundoloRoland Garros · 2026-05-30 · C@ 2.38 · LOST · -0.93u
Backed vs Luciano DarderiMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C@ 2.56 · LOST · -0.91u
Frequently asked
How old is Juan Manuel Cerundolo?

Juan Manuel Cerundolo was born on 15 November 2001, making them 24 years old and represents Argentina. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Juan Manuel Cerundolo in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Juan Manuel Cerundolo has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Juan Manuel Cerundolo's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Juan Manuel Cerundolo's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1927 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 12-6.

How does Juan Manuel Cerundolo perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.143 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Juan Manuel Cerundolo's career win rate?

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 250 of 415 matches in our database (60.2%). By surface: hard 18-28, clay 232-134, grass 0-3.

How often does Juan Manuel Cerundolo hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Juan Manuel Cerundolo to hold 81.1% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Juan Manuel Cerundolo?

Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Record: 0 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Juan Manuel Cerundolo play on?

Juan Manuel Cerundolo competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Juan Manuel Cerundolo: 0W 2L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling