Joao Fonseca
- Strongest on clay — weighted Elo 2017.
- Elite under pressure — choke index just 0.11 (tour avg ~0.37).
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Joao Fonseca sits in the tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on clay reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 84-80 (51.2%) across 164 matches — hard 40-46, clay 41-28, grass 3-6. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
Full data & recent form
How old is Joao Fonseca?
Joao Fonseca was born on 21 August 2006, making them 19 years old and represents Brazil. They compete on the ATP tour.
Is Joao Fonseca in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Joao Fonseca has gone 3-2 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Joao Fonseca's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Joao Fonseca's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 2017 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 8-3.
How does Joao Fonseca perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.111 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Joao Fonseca's career win rate?
Joao Fonseca has won 84 of 164 matches in our database (51.2%). By surface: hard 40-46, clay 41-28, grass 3-6.
How often does Joao Fonseca hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Joao Fonseca to hold 90.5% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Joao Fonseca?
Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Joao Fonseca. Record: 1 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Joao Fonseca play on?
Joao Fonseca competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-04-26. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling