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ATP · Player Profile

Novak Djokovic

ATP · Serbia · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-05-29
At a glance · Novak Djokovic

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Active
23 days rest · 2 matches in 28d
Last match
23d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -311 pts

Model carry-in

Novak Djokovic sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 1242-259 (82.7%) across 1501 matches — hard 757-150, clay 339-81, grass 129-21. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
2130
Hard
2063
Grass
1887
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1087.1%
Hold rate vs 11–5088.0%
Hold rate vs 51–10087.0%
Hold rate vs 100+85.9%

How well Novak Djokovic holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Rafael Nadal 60 meetings31–29
Roger Federer 51 meetings28–23
Andy Murray 37 meetings26–11
Stan Wawrinka 29 meetings23–6
Tomas Berdych 28 meetings25–3
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 24 meetings17–7

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2189
top tier
Clay Welo
2130
-59 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.304
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo2063 (-125)
Hold % (52w)88.2%
Last 52w17-6
Clay
Welo2130 (-59)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-1
Grass
Welo1887 (-302)
Hold % (52w)87.6%
Last 52w5-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-05-29
Hold rate service games won90.7%
Break rate return games won25.6%
First serve in 1st serves landing in0.0%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo65.1%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo79.4%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Joao FonsecaRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C · R324-6 4-6 6-3 7-5 7-5
W vs Valentin RoyerRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-3 6-2 6-7 6-3
W vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R325-7 7-5 6-1 6-4
L vs Dino PrizmicInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-08 · H · R322-6 6-2 6-4
L vs Jose Maria DraperBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-12 · H · R164-6 6-4 7-6
W vs Jack DraperIndian Wells ATP · 2026-03-12 · H ·
W vs Andrej KovacevicBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-09 · H · R326-4 1-6 6-4
W vs Aleksandar KovacevicIndian Wells ATP · 2026-03-09 · H ·
W vs Kamil MajchrzakBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-07 · H · R644-6 6-1 6-2
L vs Carlos AlcarazAustralian Open · 2026-02-01 · H · F2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5
Career splits
Overall1242-259 (82.7%)
Hard757-150 (83.5%)
Clay339-81 (80.7%)
Grass129-21 (86.0%)
Frequently asked
How old is Novak Djokovic?

Novak Djokovic was born on 22 May 1987, making them 39 years old and represents Serbia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Novak Djokovic in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Novak Djokovic has gone 2-3 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Novak Djokovic's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Novak Djokovic's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 2130 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 2-1.

How does Novak Djokovic perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.304 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Novak Djokovic's career win rate?

Novak Djokovic has won 1242 of 1501 matches in our database (82.7%). By surface: hard 757-150, clay 339-81, grass 129-21.

What tour does Novak Djokovic play on?

Novak Djokovic competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-29. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling