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WTA · Player Profile

Leylah Fernandez

WTA · Canada · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchToday · 11:00
vs Katie Boulter
Bad Homburg Open powered by Solarwatt · Hard
Our model39%Market45%Price2.24Edge+3.2%
At a glance · Leylah Fernandez

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 4L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
5 days rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
5d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -277 pts

Model carry-in

Leylah Fernandez sits in the challenger crossover band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 177-117 (60.2%) across 294 matches — hard 139-84, clay 30-29, grass 8-4. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1870
Clay
1809
Grass
1594
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1062.5%
Hold rate vs 11–5068.6%
Hold rate vs 51–10074.5%
Hold rate vs 100+69.8%

How well Leylah Fernandez holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Daniel Piquero 4 meetings3–1
Jack Staton 4 meetings3–1
nan Vicens 4 meetings3–1
Armin Abbasian 4 meetings2–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1848
challenger crossover
Hard Welo
1809
-39 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.206
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
69.8%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1809 (-39)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w15-16
Clay
Welo1809 (-39)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-2
Grass
Welo1594 (-254)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won68.3%
Break rate return games won32.9%
First serve in 1st serves landing in61.9%
Ace rate aces per service point21.5%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo40.9%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo55.6%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down20.7%
Collapse rate lost from a set up25.9%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Zeynep SonmezLexus Nottingham Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R326-4 7-6
L vs Katie BoulterThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-09 · H · R323-6 7-6 7-5
L vs Alycia ParksRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-4 6-4
L vs Victoria MbokoInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-21 · H · R326-4 6-4
W vs Magdalena FrechInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-19 · H · R326-4 3-6 6-4
W vs Leolia JeanjeanInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-17 · H · R326-1 7-5
L vs Anna BlinkovaTrophée Clarins · 2026-05-12 · H · R327-6 6-4
L vs Rebeka MasarovaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-08 · H · R324-6 6-4 6-4
L vs Mirra AndreevaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-28 · C · R327-6 6-3
W vs Ann LiMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-27 · C · R326-3 6-2
Career splits
Overall177-117 (60.2%)
Hard139-84 (62.3%)
Clay30-29 (50.8%)
Grass8-4 (66.7%)
Frequently asked
How old is Leylah Fernandez?

Leylah Fernandez was born on 06 September 2002, making them 23 years old and represents Canada. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Leylah Fernandez in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Leylah Fernandez has gone 1-4 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Leylah Fernandez's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Leylah Fernandez's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1870 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 15-16.

How does Leylah Fernandez perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.206 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Leylah Fernandez's career win rate?

Leylah Fernandez has won 177 of 294 matches in our database (60.2%). By surface: hard 139-84, clay 30-29, grass 8-4.

How often does Leylah Fernandez hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Leylah Fernandez to hold 69.8% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Leylah Fernandez play on?

Leylah Fernandez competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling