fault.betPlayersKatie Boulter
Katie Boulter photo
WTA · Player Profile

Katie Boulter

WTA · — · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
At a glance · Katie Boulter

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Tournament grinder
2 days rest · 6 matches in 28d
Last match
2d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +84 pts

Model carry-in

Katie Boulter sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 27-33 (45.0%) across 60 matches — hard 22-27, clay 4-5, grass 1-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1848
Clay
1731
Grass
1618
Head-to-head · most-played opponents

Full data & recent form

PREMIUM
Unlock Katie Boulter’s full profile
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
Try free for 7 days →
146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1953
tour median
Hard Welo
1848
-106 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.459
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1848 (-106)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w17-16
Clay
Welo1731 (-222)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-3
Grass
Welo1618 (-335)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo50.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo56.2%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Leylah FernandezBad Homburg Open powered by Solarwatt · 2026-06-21 · H · R326-7 6-3 6-3
L vs Donna VekicThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-13 · H · R326-1 6-3
W vs Elena RybakinaThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-12 · H · R327-5 2-6 6-4
W vs Jaqueline CristianThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-12 · H · R326-1 6-3
W vs Leylah FernandezThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-09 · H · R323-6 7-6 7-5
L vs Anastasia PotapovaRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R325-7 6-4 6-2
W vs Akasha UrhoboRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-4 4-6 6-4
L vs Anastasia ZakharovaTrophée Clarins · 2026-05-13 · H · R326-3 3-6 6-4
W vs Kimberly BirrellTrophée Clarins · 2026-05-12 · H · R327-5 7-6
L vs Eva LysInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · H · R326-4 3-6 6-4
Career splits
Overall27-33 (45.0%)
Hard22-27 (44.9%)
Clay4-5 (44.4%)
Grass1-1 (50.0%)
Frequently asked
Is Katie Boulter in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Katie Boulter has gone 3-2 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Katie Boulter's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Katie Boulter's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1848 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 17-16.

How does Katie Boulter perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.459 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Katie Boulter's career win rate?

Katie Boulter has won 27 of 60 matches in our database (45.0%). By surface: hard 22-27, clay 4-5, grass 1-1.

What tour does Katie Boulter play on?

Katie Boulter competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

Daily WTA signals + full player dashboards

Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium

Try free for 7 days →
🔔 Get an alert when Katie Boulter next plays

Drop your email and we'll send the model's read — price, edge and projected hold — the morning Katie Boulter is next on court. Free.

Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling