fault.betPlayersKarolina Muchova
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WTA · Player Profile

Karolina Muchova

WTA · Czech Republic · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-18
At a glance · Karolina Muchova

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
3 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
3d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -254 pts

Model carry-in

Karolina Muchova sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 250-147 (63.0%) across 397 matches — hard 147-81, clay 88-54, grass 6-9. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1920
Hard
1869
Grass
1604
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1075.8%
Hold rate vs 11–5078.6%
Hold rate vs 51–10087.5%
Hold rate vs 100+84.3%

How well Karolina Muchova holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
nan Boyle 4 meetings3–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1984
tour median
Hard Welo
1869
-115 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.342
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1869 (-115)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w30-16
Clay
Welo1920 (-64)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w6-2
Grass
Welo1604 (-380)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-2
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-18
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo53.9%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo54.1%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Madison KeysVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-18 · H · R326-4 7-5
W vs Zongyuan ShuaiVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R326-1 6-3
L vs Jil TeichmannRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C · R326-1 7-5
W vs Kamilla RakhimovaRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-2 6-2
W vs Anastasia ZakharovaRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R327-5 6-2
L vs Anastasia PotapovaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-08 · H · R326-3 6-2
L vs Elena RybakinaPorsche Tennis Grand Prix · 2026-04-19 · C · F7-5 6-1
W vs Elina SvitolinaPorsche Tennis Grand Prix · 2026-04-18 · C · SF6-4 2-6 6-4
W vs Coco GauffPorsche Tennis Grand Prix · 2026-04-17 · C · QF6-3 5-7 6-3
W vs Elise MertensPorsche Tennis Grand Prix · 2026-04-16 · C · R641-6 6-3 6-0
Career splits
Overall250-147 (63.0%)
Hard147-81 (64.5%)
Clay88-54 (62.0%)
Grass6-9 (40.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Coco GauffMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-26 · H@ 2.02 · LOST · -0.64u
Backed vs Alexandra EalaMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-23 · H@ 1.21 · WON · +0.42u
Frequently asked
How old is Karolina Muchova?

Karolina Muchova was born on 21 August 1996, making them 29 years old and represents Czech Republic. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Karolina Muchova in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Karolina Muchova has gone 3-2 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Karolina Muchova's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Karolina Muchova's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1920 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 6-2.

How does Karolina Muchova perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.342 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Karolina Muchova's career win rate?

Karolina Muchova has won 250 of 397 matches in our database (63.0%). By surface: hard 147-81, clay 88-54, grass 6-9.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Karolina Muchova?

Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Karolina Muchova. Record: 1 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Karolina Muchova play on?

Karolina Muchova competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Karolina Muchova: 1W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-18. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling