fault.betPlayersMariia Tkacheva
WTA · Player Profile

Mariia Tkacheva

WTA · Russia · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-02-21
At a glance · Mariia Tkacheva

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Returning from break
122 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
122d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d

Model carry-in

Mariia Tkacheva sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 132-67 (66.3%) across 199 matches — hard 118-49, clay 14-18. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1939
Clay
1595
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Mikko Horsma 4 meetings3–1
Anna Kubareva 3 meetings2–1
Hina Inoue 3 meetings2–1
Ravi Manoj Kumar 3 meetings2–1
Anastasia Zakharova 3 meetings1–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2048
tour median
Hard Welo
1939
-109 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.286
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1939 (-109)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Clay
Welo1595 (-453)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-02-21
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo39.8%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo64.7%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Nikola BartunkovaAustin WTA · 2026-02-21 · H ·
L vs Maria Lourdes CarleFlorianopolis 125 · 2024-12-02 · C · R326-1 6-0
W vs Hugo VarelaW50 Chihuahua · 2024-11-11 · H · QF1-6 6-2 6-3
W vs Patrik HartmeierW50 Chihuahua · 2024-11-11 · H · R166-3 6-0
W vs Maria MateasW50 Chihuahua · 2024-11-11 · H · SF6-4 2-6 6-3
W vs Daria KudashovaW50 Chihuahua · 2024-11-11 · H · F6-1 6-3
W vs Hina InoueW50 Chihuahua · 2024-11-11 · H · R326-7(3) 6-3 6-2
W vs Ninoslav KnapicW50 Veracruz · 2024-11-04 · H · SF6-7(3) 6-3 6-1
W vs Phil LucasW50 Veracruz · 2024-11-04 · H · QF6-3 7-5
W vs Hanna ChangW50 Veracruz · 2024-11-04 · H · R166-1 5-7 6-3
Career splits
Overall132-67 (66.3%)
Hard118-49 (70.7%)
Clay14-18 (43.8%)
Grass
Frequently asked
How old is Mariia Tkacheva?

Mariia Tkacheva was born on 17 December 2001, making them 24 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Mariia Tkacheva in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Mariia Tkacheva has gone 3-2 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Mariia Tkacheva's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Mariia Tkacheva's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1939 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 0-1.

How does Mariia Tkacheva perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.286 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Mariia Tkacheva's career win rate?

Mariia Tkacheva has won 132 of 199 matches in our database (66.3%). By surface: hard 118-49, clay 14-18, grass 0-0.

What tour does Mariia Tkacheva play on?

Mariia Tkacheva competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-02-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling