fault.betPlayersElena Rybakina
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WTA · Player Profile

Elena Rybakina

WTA · Kazakhstan · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-04-27
At a glance · Elena Rybakina

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
3 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
3d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -402 pts

Model carry-in

Elena Rybakina sits in the world-class band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on clay reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 326-148 (68.8%) across 474 matches — hard 235-104, clay 79-37, grass 11-7. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1927
Clay
1921
Grass
1666
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1078.3%
Hold rate vs 11–5079.4%
Hold rate vs 51–10080.2%
Hold rate vs 100+86.5%

How well Elena Rybakina holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Jules Leroux 7 meetings4–3
Alexander Vasilev 7 meetings3–4
Pedro Aranda 5 meetings5–0
Kong Kiu Lee 5 meetings4–1

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2505
world-class
Clay Welo
2174
-331 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.085
elite under pressure
Projected Hold
81.7%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1927 (-578)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w43-14
Clay
Welo2174 (-331)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w7-2
Grass
Welo1666 (-839)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-04-27
Hold rate service games won75.8%
Break rate return games won36.6%
First serve in 1st serves landing in59.9%
Ace rate aces per service point63.9%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo52.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo64.3%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down40.3%
Collapse rate lost from a set up13.8%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Alexandra EalaVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-18 · H · R327-5 6-4
L vs Katie BoulterThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-12 · H · R327-5 2-6 6-4
W vs Tatjana MariaThe HSBC Championships · 2026-06-12 · H · R326-7 7-5 6-0
L vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R323-6 6-1 7-6
W vs Veronika ErjavecRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-2 6-2
L vs Elina SvitolinaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-13 · H · R322-6 6-4 6-4
W vs Karolina PliskovaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-11 · H · R326-0 6-2
W vs Alexandra EalaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-10 · H · R326-4 6-3
W vs Maria SakkariInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-08 · H · R326-4 6-1
L vs Anastasia PotapovaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-27 · C · R327-6 6-4
Career splits
Overall326-148 (68.8%)
Hard235-104 (69.3%)
Clay79-37 (68.1%)
Grass11-7 (61.1%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Elena RybakinaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-13 · C@ 3.35 · WON · +1.15u
Backed vs Mirra AndreevaPorsche Tennis Grand Prix · 2026-04-18 · C@ 1.54 · WON · +0.72u
Backed vs Jessica PegulaMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-25 · H@ 1.51 · WON · +0.91u
Frequently asked
How old is Elena Rybakina?

Elena Rybakina was born on 17 June 1999, making them 27 years old and represents Kazakhstan. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Elena Rybakina in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Elena Rybakina has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Elena Rybakina's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Elena Rybakina's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1927 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 43-14.

How does Elena Rybakina perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.085 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Elena Rybakina's career win rate?

Elena Rybakina has won 326 of 474 matches in our database (68.8%). By surface: hard 235-104, clay 79-37, grass 11-7.

How often does Elena Rybakina hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Elena Rybakina to hold 81.7% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Elena Rybakina?

Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Elena Rybakina. Record: 3 wins, 0 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Elena Rybakina play on?

Elena Rybakina competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Elena Rybakina: 3W 0L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-04-27. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling