fault.betPlayersSara Saito
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WTA · Player Profile

Sara Saito

WTA · Japan · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-04-28
At a glance · Sara Saito

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Long layoff
56 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
56d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · this year↓ -39 pts

Model carry-in

Sara Saito sits in the top tier band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as below tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 77-44 (63.6%) across 121 matches — hard 48-35, clay 14-6, grass 3-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1869
Clay
1758
Grass
1500
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Charles Steinke 3 meetings2–1
Natsumi Kawaguchi 3 meetings2–1
Xinxin Yao 3 meetings1–2
Nimish Desai 3 meetings0–3

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2071
top tier
Hard Welo
1869
-202 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.328
good — better than tour median
Projected Hold
55.8%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1869 (-202)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-2
Clay
Welo1758 (-313)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-1
Grass
Welo1500 (-571)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-04-28
Hold rate service games won68.4%
Break rate return games won21.6%
First serve in 1st serves landing in55.4%
Ace rate aces per service point17.1%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo43.4%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo57.8%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Xinxin YaoHuzhou Open · 2026-04-28 · H · R326-2 6-7 6-4
L vs Lina GjorcheskaGrand Prix Open Villa de Madrid by Silverway · 2026-04-07 · C · R326-4 6-4
W vs Cristina Diaz AdroverGrand Prix Open Villa de Madrid by Silverway · 2026-04-06 · C · R326-1 6-1
W vs Carmen Lopez MartinezGrand Prix Open Villa de Madrid by Silverway · 2026-04-05 · C · R326-1 6-2
L vs Elina AvanesyanBogota WTA 2026 · 2026-03-29 · H ·
W vs Claude LondonLimoges 125 · 2024-12-09 · H · R326-4 6-3
L vs Celine NaefLimoges 125 · 2024-12-09 · H · R166-0 6-2
L vs Barbora PalicovaAngers 125 · 2024-12-02 · H · R326-4 6-4
W vs Xiaodi YouW100 Takasaki · 2024-11-18 · H · R326-4 6-1
L vs Sijia WeiW100 Takasaki · 2024-11-18 · H · QF7-6(4) 7-6(8)
Career splits
Overall77-44 (63.6%)
Hard48-35 (57.8%)
Clay14-6 (70.0%)
Grass3-1 (75.0%)
Frequently asked
How old is Sara Saito?

Sara Saito was born on 03 October 2006, making them 19 years old and represents Japan. They compete on the WTA tour.

Is Sara Saito in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Sara Saito has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Sara Saito's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Sara Saito's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1869 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 0-2.

How does Sara Saito perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.328 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Sara Saito's career win rate?

Sara Saito has won 77 of 121 matches in our database (63.6%). By surface: hard 48-35, clay 14-6, grass 3-1.

How often does Sara Saito hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Sara Saito to hold 55.8% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Sara Saito play on?

Sara Saito competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-04-28. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling