3 Winners at Combined 29/1 — Why Value Selections Belong in Lucky 15s
13 April 2026 · 6 min read · View full results
Saturday April 12th was a good day. All three fault.bet pre-match signals won:
| Signal | Betfair Price | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| BACK Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 3.90 | +19.9% | WON |
| BACK Veronika Podrez | 2.96 | +18.0% | WON |
| BACK Ethan Quinn | 2.52 | +16.8% | WON |
Flat staking at £1 per signal returned +£6.38 profit. Solid. But what if you’d combined them in a Lucky 15?
What’s a Lucky 15?
A Lucky 15 is 15 bets across 4 selections: 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 fourfold. With only 3 selections, you’d use a Lucky 7 (also called a Patent): 3 singles, 3 doubles, 1 treble — 7 bets total.
The magic is in the multiples. When value selections compound, the returns are disproportionately large — because you’re multiplying edges, not just adding them.
The Maths: Saturday’s 3 Winners
Let’s work through a £1 Patent (Lucky 7) on Saturday’s three winners at their Betfair SP prices:
From £7 staked, you get back £67.30. The treble alone pays £29.09 — that’s roughly 29/1 from three selections that averaged under 3/1 each.
Add the Betfred Lucky 15 Bonus
If you had a 4th selection (say from tomorrow’s signals), Betfred offers the best Lucky 15 deal in the UK:
The triple-odds consolation is the safety net. If only Bertea wins at 3.90, Betfred pays 3 × 3.90 = 11.70 on the single — covering most of your £15 Lucky 15 stake from one winner.
If all 4 win, the 25% bonus on top of the accumulated multiples is significant. On a day like Saturday, that bonus alone could add £15-20 to returns.
Why Value × Multiples = Exponential Edge
Here’s the key insight most people miss:
When you combine genuine value selections in multiples, the edges compound multiplicatively.
Saturday’s three signals each had 16-20% edge over the Betfair market. In singles, that’s a 16-20% advantage per bet. But in a treble, the combined edge is roughly:
1.17 × 1.18 × 1.20 = 1.66 → 66% edge on the treble
That’s the mathematical reality of compounding value. The bookmaker’s margin gets multiplied against them in every leg. Add Betfred’s 25% all-winners bonus on top and you’re playing a different game entirely.
The Formula
This is what makes daily value signals genuinely powerful for recreational punters:
- Value selections — Each signal has a measured, positive-expectation edge vs the market. Not guesses. Not tips. Model-priced edges with documented performance.
- Exotic multiples — Lucky 15s/Patents cover you with singles if only 1-2 land, but the doubles and trebles compound when the value is real.
- Bookmaker bonuses — Betfred’s triple odds on 1 winner + 25% bonus on all winners is free edge on top of your existing edge. The bookmaker is subsidising your multiples.
Value × Multiples × Bonus = outsized returns.
Saturday was the proof. Three qualifying round matches most people wouldn’t look twice at. Our model identified 16-20% edges on each. A £7 Patent returned £67. A Betfred Lucky 15 with a 4th selection could have returned north of £100.
Get Tomorrow’s Selections
fault.bet publishes 2-5 pre-match value signals daily at 8am UK time, covering ATP and WTA. Every signal has a measured edge against Betfair prices, and every result is publicly tracked at fault.bet/results.
Perfect for daily Lucky 15s and Patents.