fault.betPlayersNuno Borges
ATP · Player Profile

Nuno Borges

ATP · Portugal · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchToday · 10:30
vs Adrian Mannarino
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Grass
Our model43%Market55%Price1.82Edge+11.2%
At a glance · Nuno Borges

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
6 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
6d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -35 pts

Model carry-in

Nuno Borges sits in the challenger crossover band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as well above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 307-177 (63.4%) across 484 matches — hard 174-98, clay 125-67, grass 8-11. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1917
Hard
1878
Grass
1621
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1058.0%
Hold rate vs 11–5079.0%
Hold rate vs 51–10083.2%
Hold rate vs 100+81.0%

How well Nuno Borges holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Gastao Elias 6 meetings3–3
Frederico Gil 4 meetings4–0
Joao Monteiro 4 meetings2–2

Full data & recent form

PREMIUM
Unlock Nuno Borges’s full profile
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
Try free for 7 days →
143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1885
challenger crossover
Grass Welo
1471
-414 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.593
below tour median — fades in pressure moments
Projected Hold
89.1%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1878
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w14-20
Clay
Welo1917 (+31)
Hold % (52w)80.4%
Last 52w5-6
Grass
Welo1471 (-414)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w2-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won84.0%
Break rate return games won20.4%
First serve in 1st serves landing in62.5%
Ace rate aces per service point9.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo41.9%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo25.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down26.1%
Collapse rate lost from a set up35.0%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Felix Auger-AliassimeTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R326-3 3-6 6-3
L vs Marin CilicLibéma Open · 2026-06-12 · H · R323-6 7-6 6-3
W vs Terence AtmaneLibéma Open · 2026-06-08 · H · R326-4 6-4
L vs Andrey RublevRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C · R327-5 7-6 7-6
W vs Miomir KecmanovicRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R323-6 6-2 6-1 6-2
W vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C · R326-3 6-4 6-2
L vs Rafael JodarInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-08 · H · R327-6 6-4
W vs Jesper De JongInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · H · R326-3 6-0
W vs J De JongInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · C · R1286-3 6-0
L vs Mariano NavoneMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-23 · C · R326-3 6-4
Career splits
Overall307-177 (63.4%)
Hard174-98 (64.0%)
Clay125-67 (65.1%)
Grass8-11 (42.1%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Marin CilicATP 's-Hertogenbosch 2026 · 2026-06-11 · G@ 2.10 · LOST · -0.92u
Backed vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryRoland Garros · 2026-05-24 · C@ 3.05 · WON
Faded vs Nuno BorgesInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · C@ 2.20 · LOST · -0.90u
Faded vs Nuno BorgesBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-13 · C@ 4.30 · LOST · -0.66u
Faded vs Nuno BorgesTiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · 2026-04-01 · H@ 2.82 · WON · +1.93u
Faded vs Nuno BorgesMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-18 · H@ 1.83 · WON · +1.66u
Frequently asked
How old is Nuno Borges?

Nuno Borges was born on 19 February 1997, making them 29 years old and represents Portugal. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Nuno Borges in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Nuno Borges has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Nuno Borges's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Nuno Borges's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1917 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 5-6.

How does Nuno Borges perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.593 — below tour median — fades in pressure moments. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Nuno Borges's career win rate?

Nuno Borges has won 307 of 484 matches in our database (63.4%). By surface: hard 174-98, clay 125-67, grass 8-11.

How often does Nuno Borges hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Nuno Borges to hold 89.1% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Nuno Borges?

Yes — we've issued 6 settled signals involving Nuno Borges. Record: 3 wins, 3 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Nuno Borges play on?

Nuno Borges competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

Daily ATP signals + full player dashboards

Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium

Try free for 7 days →
Our signal record on Nuno Borges: 3W 3L · every pick logged at /results
🔔 Get an alert when Nuno Borges next plays

Drop your email and we'll send the model's read — price, edge and projected hold — the morning Nuno Borges is next on court. Free.

Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling