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ATP · Player Profile

Andrea Vavassori

ATP · Italy · Updated 13 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-02-03
At a glance · Andrea Vavassori

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 3L streak
Fitness
Returning from break
130 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
130d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 6 monthsStable

Model carry-in

Andrea Vavassori sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 250-212 (54.1%) across 462 matches — hard 106-92, clay 139-110, grass 4-8. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1814
Clay
1718
Grass
1530
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1081.6%
Hold rate vs 11–5084.5%
Hold rate vs 51–10078.1%
Hold rate vs 100+79.1%

How well Andrea Vavassori holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Gianluca Di Nicola 4 meetings3–1
Juan Pablo Varillas 4 meetings2–2
Filippo Baldi 4 meetings2–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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135W 168L · +19.3% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2102
top tier
Hard Welo
1814
-288 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.458
tour-median
Projected Hold
64.3%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1814 (-288)
Hold % (52w)80.4%
Last 52w3-6
Clay
Welo1718 (-384)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Grass
Welo1530 (-572)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-02-03
Hold rate service games won85.4%
Break rate return games won17.0%
First serve in 1st serves landing in62.9%
Ace rate aces per service point62.5%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo51.1%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo50.9%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Ugo BlanchetOpen Sud de France · 2026-02-03 · H · R1286-4 6-3
L vs Roberto Carballes BaenaMontpellier ATP · 2026-02-01 · H ·
L vs Aleksandar VukicAdelaide ATP 2026 · 2026-01-14 · H ·
W vs Gabriel DialloAdelaide ATP 2026 · 2026-01-13 · H ·
L vs Thiago Agustin TiranteAdelaide ATP 2026 · 2026-01-12 · H ·
W vs Raphael CollignonAdelaide ATP 2026 · 2026-01-11 · H ·
L vs Adrian MannarinoBeijing ATP · 2025-09-23 · H ·
W vs Beibit ZhukayevWashington ATP · 2025-07-20 · H ·
L vs Alfredo PerezWashington ATP · 2025-07-19 · H ·
L vs Carlos AlcarazABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament · 2025-02-06 · H · R646-2 6-1
Career splits
Overall250-212 (54.1%)
Hard106-92 (53.5%)
Clay139-110 (55.8%)
Grass4-8 (33.3%)
Frequently asked
How old is Andrea Vavassori?

Andrea Vavassori was born on 05 May 1995, making them 31 years old and represents Italy. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Andrea Vavassori in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Andrea Vavassori has gone 1-4 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Andrea Vavassori's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Andrea Vavassori's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1814 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 3-6.

How does Andrea Vavassori perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.458 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Andrea Vavassori's career win rate?

Andrea Vavassori has won 250 of 462 matches in our database (54.1%). By surface: hard 106-92, clay 139-110, grass 4-8.

How often does Andrea Vavassori hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Andrea Vavassori to hold 64.3% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Andrea Vavassori play on?

Andrea Vavassori competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-02-03. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling