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ATP · Player Profile

Alexander Bublik

ATP · Kazakhstan · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-16
At a glance · Alexander Bublik

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
5 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
5d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -111 pts

Model carry-in

Alexander Bublik sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 375-305 (55.1%) across 680 matches — hard 265-203, clay 61-68, grass 48-29. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1956
Hard
1889
Grass
1725
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1064.9%
Hold rate vs 11–5080.0%
Hold rate vs 51–10074.3%
Hold rate vs 100+78.9%

How well Alexander Bublik holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Jan Lennard Struff 9 meetings4–5

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2117
top tier
Hard Welo
1889
-228 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.445
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1889 (-228)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w25-19
Clay
Welo1956 (-161)
Hold % (52w)90.2%
Last 52w9-5
Grass
Welo1725 (-392)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-16
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo53.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo57.4%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Mattia BellucciTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R327-6 6-1
L vs Taylor FritzBoss Open · 2026-06-13 · H · R326-4 6-4
W vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardBoss Open · 2026-06-12 · H · R327-6 7-6
W vs Jan Lennard StruffBoss Open · 2026-06-10 · H · R327-6 3-6 6-2
L vs Jan Lennard StruffRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R327-5 6-7 6-4 7-5
L vs Learner TienGonet Geneva Open · 2026-05-22 · C · R326-1 4-6 7-6
W vs Arthur RinderknechGonet Geneva Open · 2026-05-21 · C · R325-7 6-4 6-2
W vs Edas ButvilasGonet Geneva Open · 2026-05-20 · C · R326-4 6-3
L vs Learner TienInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-10 · H · R324-6 6-3 7-5
W vs Sebastian BaezInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-08 · H · R326-1 6-2
Career splits
Overall375-305 (55.1%)
Hard265-203 (56.6%)
Clay61-68 (47.3%)
Grass48-29 (62.3%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Alexander BublikRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C@ 4.00 · WON · +1.47u
Faded vs Alexander BublikGonet Geneva Open · 2026-05-21 · C@ 2.70 · LOST
Faded vs Alexander BublikInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-10 · C@ 2.94 · WON · +1.69u
Faded vs Alexander BublikMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-25 · C@ 2.60 · WON · +1.47u
Backed vs Jiri LeheckaRolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2026-04-09 · C@ 2.06 · WON · +1.31u
Backed vs Matteo BerrettiniMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-20 · H@ 1.56 · WON · +1.12u
Frequently asked
How old is Alexander Bublik?

Alexander Bublik was born on 17 June 1997, making them 29 years old and represents Kazakhstan. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Alexander Bublik in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Alexander Bublik has gone 2-3 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Alexander Bublik's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Alexander Bublik's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1956 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 9-5.

How does Alexander Bublik perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.445 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Alexander Bublik's career win rate?

Alexander Bublik has won 375 of 680 matches in our database (55.1%). By surface: hard 265-203, clay 61-68, grass 48-29.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Alexander Bublik?

Yes — we've issued 6 settled signals involving Alexander Bublik. Record: 5 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Alexander Bublik play on?

Alexander Bublik competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Alexander Bublik: 5W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-16. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling