fault.betPlayersGrigor Dimitrov
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ATP · Player Profile

Grigor Dimitrov

ATP · Bulgaria · Updated 23 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-23
Next matchToday · 10:30
vs Marc Polmans
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Grass
Market84%Price1.19
At a glance · Grigor Dimitrov

Form & fitness

Form
Losing badly
last 10 matches · 5L streak
Fitness
Long layoff
35 days rest · 0 matches in 28d
Last match
35d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 10 months↓ -122 pts

Model carry-in

Grigor Dimitrov sits in the below tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them above their overall number — a clear surface specialism. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 600-370 (61.9%) across 970 matches — hard 386-229, clay 158-103, grass 54-34. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
2041
Clay
1959
Grass
1719
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1081.2%
Hold rate vs 11–5087.1%
Hold rate vs 51–10090.8%
Hold rate vs 100+87.3%

How well Grigor Dimitrov holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Rafael Nadal 15 meetings1–14
David Goffin 13 meetings11–2
Stan Wawrinka 13 meetings6–7
Andy Murray 13 meetings5–8

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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146W 192L · +16.4% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1646
below tour median
Grass Welo
1848
+202 above overall · surface specialism
Choke Index
0.500
tour-median
Projected Hold
79.9%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo2041 (+395)
Hold % (52w)90.8%
Last 52w3-8
Clay
Welo1959 (+313)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w0-3
Grass
Welo1848 (+202)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-0
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-23
Hold rate service games won80.3%
Break rate return games won15.2%
First serve in 1st serves landing in64.4%
Ace rate aces per service point18.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo0.0%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo20.0%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down23.0%
Collapse rate lost from a set up33.0%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Jaime FariaRoland Garros · 2026-05-19 · C · R323-6 7-5 7-6
L vs Adolfo Daniel VallejoMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-23 · C · R326-4 6-4
L vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryMonte Carlo Masters · 2026-04-07 · C · R1286-4 2-6 6-3
L vs Raphael CollignonMiami Open · 2026-03-19 · H · R1287-6 4-6 7-6
L vs Carlos AlcarazBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-08 · H · R646-2 6-3
W vs Terence AtmaneBNP Paribas Open · 2026-03-05 · H · R1286-4 5-7 6-4
L vs Terence AtmaneAbierto Mexicano · 2026-02-25 · H · R1286-3 6-3
L vs Alex MichelsenDallas Open · 2026-02-10 · H · R1285-7 6-4 6-4
L vs Tomas MachacAustralian Open · 2026-01-20 · H · R1286-4 6-4 6-3
L vs Raphael CollignonBrisbane International · 2026-01-08 · H · R647-6 6-3
Career splits
Overall600-370 (61.9%)
Hard386-229 (62.8%)
Clay158-103 (60.5%)
Grass54-34 (61.4%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Grigor DimitrovMiami Open presented by Itau · 2026-03-18 · H@ 2.16 · WON · +2.32u
Frequently asked
How old is Grigor Dimitrov?

Grigor Dimitrov was born on 16 May 1991, making them 35 years old and represents Bulgaria. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Grigor Dimitrov in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Grigor Dimitrov has gone 0-5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first) — struggling for form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Grigor Dimitrov's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Grigor Dimitrov's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 2041 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 3-8.

How does Grigor Dimitrov perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.500 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Grigor Dimitrov's career win rate?

Grigor Dimitrov has won 600 of 970 matches in our database (61.9%). By surface: hard 386-229, clay 158-103, grass 54-34.

How often does Grigor Dimitrov hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Grigor Dimitrov to hold 79.9% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Grigor Dimitrov?

Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Grigor Dimitrov. Record: 1 wins, 0 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Grigor Dimitrov play on?

Grigor Dimitrov competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Grigor Dimitrov: 1W 0L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-23. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling