fault.betPlayersCristian Garin
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ATP · Player Profile

Cristian Garin

ATP · Chile · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-05-26
At a glance · Cristian Garin

Form & fitness

Form
Cold streak
last 10 matches · 3L streak
Fitness
Active
26 days rest · 1 match in 28d
Last match
26d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -12 pts

Model carry-in

Cristian Garin sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On clay, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 391-290 (57.4%) across 681 matches — hard 92-91, clay 279-186, grass 20-13. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1928
Hard
1925
Grass
1657
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1079.4%
Hold rate vs 11–5067.3%
Hold rate vs 51–10078.4%
Hold rate vs 100+73.1%

How well Cristian Garin holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Juan Ignacio Londero 9 meetings6–3
Guido Andreozzi 7 meetings3–4
Diego Schwartzman 6 meetings3–3
Jeremy Chardy 6 meetings2–4
Pedro Sousa 5 meetings5–0

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2139
top tier
Clay Welo
1928
-211 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.415
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1925 (-214)
Hold % (52w)84.8%
Last 52w7-4
Clay
Welo1928 (-211)
Hold % (52w)82.1%
Last 52w4-7
Grass
Welo1657 (-481)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-05-26
Hold rate service games won87.8%
Break rate return games won16.0%
First serve in 1st serves landing in0.0%
Ace rate aces per service point0.0%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo51.2%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo55.5%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Learner TienRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R326-0 2-6 6-0 6-2
L vs Henri SquireBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-16 · C · R321-6 6-4 6-3
L vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · H · R327-6 6-4
W vs Juan Manuel CerundoloInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R327-6 7-5
W vs Jan ChoinskiInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-05 · H · R326-2 3-6 6-2
W vs Moez EcharguiInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-04 · H · R326-0 6-2
L vs Alexander BlockxMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-23 · C · R324-6 7-5 7-5
L vs Martin DammMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-21 · C · R322-6 6-4 7-6
W vs Ugo BlanchetMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-20 · C · R327-5 6-4
L vs Alexander ZverevMonte Carlo Masters · 2026-04-08 · C · R644-6 6-4 7-5
Career splits
Overall391-290 (57.4%)
Hard92-91 (50.3%)
Clay279-186 (60.0%)
Grass20-13 (60.6%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Learner TienRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C@ 2.58 · LOST · -0.92u
Faded vs Cristian GarinBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-16 · C@ 4.20 · WON · +1.54u
Faded vs Cristian GarinInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-05 · C@ 3.55 · LOST · -0.52u
Frequently asked
How old is Cristian Garin?

Cristian Garin was born on 30 May 1996, making them 30 years old and represents Chile. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Cristian Garin in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Cristian Garin has gone 2-3 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Cristian Garin's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Cristian Garin's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1928 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 4-7.

How does Cristian Garin perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.415 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Cristian Garin's career win rate?

Cristian Garin has won 391 of 681 matches in our database (57.4%). By surface: hard 92-91, clay 279-186, grass 20-13.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Cristian Garin?

Yes — we've issued 3 settled signals involving Cristian Garin. Record: 1 wins, 2 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Cristian Garin play on?

Cristian Garin competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Cristian Garin: 1W 2L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-05-26. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling