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ATP · Player Profile

Andrey Rublev

ATP · Russia · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-16
At a glance · Andrey Rublev

Form & fitness

Form
Solid form
last 10 matches · 2L streak
Fitness
Match-sharp
5 days rest · 5 matches in 28d
Last match
5d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↓ -125 pts

Model carry-in

Andrey Rublev sits in the top tier band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Career record in our database: 521-293 (64.0%) across 814 matches — hard 353-195, clay 135-79, grass 29-17. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1945
Hard
1919
Grass
1683
Serve hold by opponent quality
Hold rate vs Top 1083.1%
Hold rate vs 11–5090.2%
Hold rate vs 51–10087.3%
Hold rate vs 100+90.0%

How well Andrey Rublev holds serve split by the ranking tier of the opponent — the gap between tiers is where value often hides.

Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Fabio Fognini 11 meetings6–5

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
2138
top tier
Hard Welo
1919
-219 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.402
tour-median
Projected Hold
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1919 (-219)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w24-17
Clay
Welo1945 (-193)
Hold % (52w)82.1%
Last 52w8-4
Grass
Welo1683 (-454)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-16
Hold rate service games won
Break rate return games won
First serve in 1st serves landing in
Ace rate aces per service point
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo51.6%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo59.1%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down
Collapse rate lost from a set up
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Hubert HurkaczTerra Wortmann Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R326-3 6-2
L vs Jakub MensikRoland Garros · 2026-05-31 · C · R326-3 7-6 4-6 2-6 6-3
W vs Nuno BorgesRoland Garros · 2026-05-29 · C · R327-5 7-6 7-6
W vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliRoland Garros · 2026-05-27 · C · R326-1 1-6 6-3 7-6
W vs Ignacio BuseRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-3 6-7 6-3 7-5
L vs Jannik SinnerInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-14 · H · R326-2 6-4
W vs Nikoloz BasilashviliInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-12 · H · R323-6 7-6 6-2
W vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-11 · H · R326-4 6-4
W vs Miomir KecmanovicInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-09 · H · R326-4 6-4
L vs Vit KoprivaMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-24 · C · R326-3 6-4
Career splits
Overall521-293 (64.0%)
Hard353-195 (64.4%)
Clay135-79 (63.1%)
Grass29-17 (63.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Faded vs Andrey RublevInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-12 · C@ 3.85 · LOST · -0.50u
Backed vs Hamad MedjedovicBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2026-04-18 · C@ 1.62 · WON · +1.06u
Frequently asked
How old is Andrey Rublev?

Andrey Rublev was born on 20 October 1997, making them 28 years old and represents Russia. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Andrey Rublev in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Andrey Rublev has gone 3-2 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Andrey Rublev's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Andrey Rublev's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1945 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 8-4.

How does Andrey Rublev perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.402 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Andrey Rublev's career win rate?

Andrey Rublev has won 521 of 814 matches in our database (64.0%). By surface: hard 353-195, clay 135-79, grass 29-17.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Andrey Rublev?

Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Andrey Rublev. Record: 1 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Andrey Rublev play on?

Andrey Rublev competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Our signal record on Andrey Rublev: 1W 1L · every pick logged at /results
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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-16. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling