Jelena Ostapenko
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1889.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Jelena Ostapenko sits in the top tier band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 36-34 (51.4%) across 70 matches — hard 26-27, clay 9-6, grass 1-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
Full data & recent form
Is Jelena Ostapenko in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Jelena Ostapenko has gone 3-2 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Jelena Ostapenko's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Jelena Ostapenko's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1889 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 20-17.
How does Jelena Ostapenko perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.364 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Jelena Ostapenko's career win rate?
Jelena Ostapenko has won 36 of 70 matches in our database (51.4%). By surface: hard 26-27, clay 9-6, grass 1-1.
How often does Jelena Ostapenko hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Jelena Ostapenko to hold 68.5% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Jelena Ostapenko?
Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Jelena Ostapenko. Record: 1 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Jelena Ostapenko play on?
Jelena Ostapenko competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling