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ATP · Player Profile

Ignacio Buse

ATP · Peru · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchTomorrow · 04:00
vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Grass
Our model55%Edge0.0%
At a glance · Ignacio Buse

Form & fitness

Form
Strong form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Match-sharp
4 days rest · 3 matches in 28d
Last match
4d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +26 pts

Model carry-in

Ignacio Buse sits in the tour median band of active ATP-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: tour-median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as above tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 116-79 (59.5%) across 195 matches — hard 22-19, clay 94-60. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Clay
1977
Hard
1891
Head-to-head · most-played opponents
Gonzalo Bueno 4 meetings1–3
Alvaro Guillen Meza 3 meetings2–1
Conner Huertas Del Pino 3 meetings2–1
Miguel Damas 3 meetings2–1
Christian Langmo 3 meetings1–2

Full data & recent form

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Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
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143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1924
tour median
Grass Welo
1500
-424 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.361
tour-median
Projected Hold
75.9%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1891 (-32)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w8-10
Clay
Welo1977 (+53)
Hold % (52w)83.8%
Last 52w14-6
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won78.1%
Break rate return games won20.9%
First serve in 1st serves landing in61.2%
Ace rate aces per service point6.9%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo69.2%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo53.8%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down25.2%
Collapse rate lost from a set up26.3%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Brandon NakashimaHSBC Championships · 2026-06-17 · H · R326-2 6-2
W vs Marcos GironHSBC Championships · 2026-06-16 · H · R323-6 7-5 7-6
L vs Andrey RublevRoland Garros · 2026-05-25 · C · R326-3 6-7 6-3 7-5
W vs Todd PaulHamburg Open · 2026-05-23 · C · F7-6 4-6 6-3
W vs Andrej KovacevicHamburg Open · 2026-05-22 · C · SF6-1 6-4
W vs Aleksandar KovacevicBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-22 · C · R326-1 6-4
W vs Ugo HumbertBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-21 · C · R326-3 5-7 6-3
W vs Jakub MensikHamburg Open · 2026-05-20 · C · R646-0 6-3
W vs Jakub MensikBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-20 · C · R326-0 6-3
W vs Flavio CobolliBitpanda Hamburg Open · 2026-05-19 · C · R326-2 7-5
Career splits
Overall116-79 (59.5%)
Hard22-19 (53.7%)
Clay94-60 (61.0%)
Grass
Frequently asked
How old is Ignacio Buse?

Ignacio Buse was born on 25 March 2004, making them 22 years old and represents Peru. They compete on the ATP tour.

Is Ignacio Buse in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Ignacio Buse has gone 3-2 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Ignacio Buse's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Ignacio Buse's strongest surface is clay, where they rate at 1977 Welo. Their record in our database on clay over the last 52 weeks is 14-6.

How does Ignacio Buse perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.361 — tour-median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Ignacio Buse's career win rate?

Ignacio Buse has won 116 of 195 matches in our database (59.5%). By surface: hard 22-19, clay 94-60, grass 0-0.

How often does Ignacio Buse hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Ignacio Buse to hold 75.9% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

What tour does Ignacio Buse play on?

Ignacio Buse competes on the ATP tour. Our model covers every active ATP player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

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Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling