Jasmine Paolini
- Strongest on hard — weighted Elo 1920.
- Wins 63% of deciding sets — a genuine closer.
Form & fitness
Model carry-in
Jasmine Paolini sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On grass, the model rates them below their overall number — a surface where their price routinely overstates them. Pressure profile: good — better than tour median. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on grass reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 37-21 (63.8%) across 58 matches — hard 26-15, clay 11-5, grass 0-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.
Full data & recent form
Is Jasmine Paolini in form right now?
Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Jasmine Paolini has gone 2-3 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first) — in patchy form. Form is refreshed nightly.
What is Jasmine Paolini's best surface?
By our weighted Elo measure, Jasmine Paolini's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1920 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 19-11.
How does Jasmine Paolini perform under pressure?
Their choke index reads 0.222 — good — better than tour median. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.
What is Jasmine Paolini's career win rate?
Jasmine Paolini has won 37 of 58 matches in our database (63.8%). By surface: hard 26-15, clay 11-5, grass 0-1.
How often does Jasmine Paolini hold serve?
Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Jasmine Paolini to hold 66.0% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.
Has fault.bet fired signals on Jasmine Paolini?
Yes — we've issued 1 settled signals involving Jasmine Paolini. Record: 0 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.
What tour does Jasmine Paolini play on?
Jasmine Paolini competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.
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Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium
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Methodology
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.
Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling