fault.betPlayersKaterina Siniakova
Katerina Siniakova photo
WTA · Player Profile

Katerina Siniakova

WTA · — · Updated 21 Jun 2026 · data snapshot 2026-06-21
Next matchToday · 09:00
vs Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open powered by Solarwatt · Hard
Our model57%Market62%Price1.61Edge+3.1%
At a glance · Katerina Siniakova

Form & fitness

Form
Mixed form
last 10 matches
Fitness
Tournament grinder
4 days rest · 6 matches in 28d
Last match
4d ago
no retirements or walkovers in 90d
Weighted Elo · 11 months↑ +30 pts

Model carry-in

Katerina Siniakova sits in the tour median band of active WTA-tour players by our weighted Elo measure. On hard, the model rates them in line with their overall level. Pressure profile: elite under pressure. We use this to size break-point and tiebreak edges in close matches. Projected hold rate on hard reads as around tour median against a draw-average opponent. Career record in our database: 29-28 (50.9%) across 57 matches — hard 25-22, clay 3-5, grass 1-1. Live numbers (weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service profile, recent form) refresh nightly and are visible to subscribers.

Surface Elo
Hard
1867
Clay
1864
Grass
1618

Full data & recent form

PREMIUM
Unlock Katerina Siniakova’s full profile
Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold, full service & return profile (8 metrics), recent form (last 10 matches), and career splits by surface. Same data we use to fire daily signals.
Try free for 7 days →
143W 189L · +15.1% Kelly bank growth · every signal tracked publicly
Weighted Elo
1976
tour median
Hard Welo
1902
-74 below overall · surface to fade
Choke Index
0.111
elite under pressure
Projected Hold
70.1%
vs draw-average opponent
Surface profile · snapshot
Hard
Welo1902 (-74)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w18-15
Clay
Welo1864 (-112)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w3-3
Grass
Welo1618 (-358)
Hold % (52w)
Last 52w1-1
Service & return profile · snapshot 2026-06-21
Hold rate service games won65.3%
Break rate return games won37.9%
First serve in 1st serves landing in63.7%
Ace rate aces per service point14.4%
Tiebreak win pct tiebreaks won, last 36mo54.5%
Deciding-set win pct final-set wins, last 36mo35.7%
Comeback rate recovered from a set down22.1%
Collapse rate lost from a set up17.1%
Recent form (last 10 matches)
L vs Jessica PegulaVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-17 · H · R326-2 6-4
W vs Rebeka MasarovaVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-16 · H · R326-2 6-4
W vs Yuan YueVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R326-4 6-2
W vs Zhu LinVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-15 · H · R326-4 6-2
L vs Victoria MbokoRoland Garros · 2026-05-28 · C · R325-7 6-4 6-2
W vs Simona WaltertRoland Garros · 2026-05-26 · C · R326-4 7-6
L vs Marie BouzkovaInternationaux de Strasbourg presented by Mammotion · 2026-05-18 · H · R327-6 6-3
L vs Anna KalinskayaInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-07 · H · R324-6 7-6 7-5
W vs Lois BoissonInternazionali BNL d'Italia · 2026-05-06 · H · R326-2 6-3
L vs Caty McnallyMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-26 · C · R326-3 2-6 7-6
Career splits
Overall29-28 (50.9%)
Hard25-22 (53.2%)
Clay3-5 (37.5%)
Grass1-1 (50.0%)
fault.bet signal history · this player
Backed vs Yue YuanVANDA Pharmaceuticals Berlin Tennis Open · 2026-06-14 · H@ 2.28 · WON · +1.47u
Backed vs Catherine McnallyMutua Madrid Open · 2026-04-26 · C@ 2.12 · LOST · -1.23u
Frequently asked
Is Katerina Siniakova in form right now?

Over their last 5 completed matches in our database Katerina Siniakova has gone 3-2 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first) — in solid form. Form is refreshed nightly.

What is Katerina Siniakova's best surface?

By our weighted Elo measure, Katerina Siniakova's strongest surface is hard, where they rate at 1867 Welo. Their record in our database on hard over the last 52 weeks is 18-15.

How does Katerina Siniakova perform under pressure?

Their choke index reads 0.111 — elite under pressure. We compute this from every break-point, tiebreak, and serving-for-the-set scenario over 36 months.

What is Katerina Siniakova's career win rate?

Katerina Siniakova has won 29 of 57 matches in our database (50.9%). By surface: hard 25-22, clay 3-5, grass 1-1.

How often does Katerina Siniakova hold serve?

Against a draw-average opponent on their next match surface, our model projects Katerina Siniakova to hold 70.1% of their service games. This is computed from rolling 52-week serve and return performance, weighted by opponent strength.

Has fault.bet fired signals on Katerina Siniakova?

Yes — we've issued 2 settled signals involving Katerina Siniakova. Record: 1 wins, 1 losses. Every signal is logged publicly at fault.bet/results.

What tour does Katerina Siniakova play on?

Katerina Siniakova competes on the WTA tour. Our model covers every active WTA player with 30 or more matches in our database — refreshed nightly with new results and ratings.

Daily WTA signals + full player dashboards

Pre-match value picks every morning · Live Elo, choke index and projected hold for every active player · Pinnacle-fair-price edge calculation · Inplay alerts on Premium

Try free for 7 days →
Our signal record on Katerina Siniakova: 1W 1L · every pick logged at /results
🔔 Get an alert when Katerina Siniakova next plays

Drop your email and we'll send the model's read — price, edge and projected hold — the morning Katerina Siniakova is next on court. Free.

Methodology

Surface-specific weighted Elo, choke index, projected hold and other signals come from our Markov tennis model trained on 1.8 million matches. Read the methodology: how the Markov model misprices pressure · how the fault.bet model is built · Kelly staking guide.

Numbers refresh nightly from the production model. Last data snapshot: 2026-06-21. Not personalised advice. 18+. Responsible Gambling